Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/21 Game 2
Futoshi Watanabe finished 1st (+63.4pt). The game was decided in East 4: Futoshi Watanabe ron 12,000 from Namba Shibukawa, which moved Futoshi Watanabe's expected points by +39.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,000 from Go Kobayashi | 24% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -0.5 | +7.6 | -5.3 | -1.9 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 24% | 31% | 22% | 24% | -2.7 | -6.5 | +8.3 | +0.8 |
| East 3 | Namba Shibukawa ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 22% | 26% | 27% | 25% | +12.7 | +1.3 | -14.4 | +0.4 |
| East 4 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 12,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 31% | 27% | 17% | 26% | -37.8 | +39.4 | +1.1 | -2.7 |
| South 1 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 7% | 64% | 12% | 17% | -8.9 | +7.9 | -0.8 | +1.8 |
| South 2 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 75% | 9% | 14% | +37.0 | -12.9 | -11.7 | -12.4 |
| South 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 15% | 64% | 10% | 12% | -40.3 | -2.7 | +42.3 | +0.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 1% | 58% | 30% | 11% | +9.4 | +31.0 | -9.1 | -31.3 |
| South 4 | Namba Shibukawa ron 3,900 from Futoshi Watanabe | 0% | 97% | 2% | 1% | +8.4 | -2.2 | +0.9 | -7.1 |