Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/21 Game 2
Watanabe Futoshi finished 1st (+63.4pt). The game was decided in East 4: Watanabe Futoshi ron 12,000 from Shibukawa Namba, which moved Watanabe Futoshi's expected points by +38.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,000 from Kobayashi Go | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -0.8 | +5.9 | -5.2 | +0.1 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 23% | 29% | 22% | 25% | -2.4 | -6.2 | +7.8 | +0.8 |
| East 3 | Shibukawa Namba ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 22% | 25% | 27% | 27% | +12.6 | +3.8 | -14.3 | -2.1 |
| East 4 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 12,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 31% | 28% | 16% | 25% | -39.1 | +38.1 | +2.4 | -1.4 |
| South 1 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 7% | 63% | 13% | 17% | -7.4 | +8.4 | -1.3 | +0.3 |
| South 2 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 75% | 10% | 14% | +35.9 | -11.7 | -12.3 | -12.0 |
| South 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 13% | 65% | 9% | 12% | -38.7 | -4.3 | +41.0 | +1.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 1% | 57% | 29% | 13% | +8.9 | +31.4 | -8.5 | -31.9 |
| South 4 | Shibukawa Namba ron 3,900 from Watanabe Futoshi | 0% | 96% | 2% | 1% | +8.3 | -2.1 | +1.2 | -7.4 |