Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/22 Game 1
Daisuke Suzuki finished 1st (+104.4pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Daisuke Suzuki ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi, which moved Daisuke Suzuki's expected points by +27.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -3.8 | -2.4 | -1.1 | +7.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 6,000 | 22% | 23% | 25% | 30% | -5.8 | +21.8 | -6.6 | -9.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 18% | 40% | 20% | 23% | -26.8 | +27.9 | -0.8 | -0.4 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,600 from Kenji Katsumata | 5% | 64% | 14% | 17% | -0.9 | +0.6 | -6.8 | +7.1 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 5% | 67% | 10% | 19% | +12.2 | +0.6 | -10.5 | -2.3 |
| East 4 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 7% | 69% | 6% | 18% | +1.8 | +16.1 | +3.9 | -21.8 |
| South 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 88% | 4% | 4% | -14.0 | -0.9 | +19.7 | -4.8 |
| South 2 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 89% | 7% | 4% | -4.1 | +16.5 | -5.2 | -7.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 97% | 2% | 1% | -0.7 | +3.3 | -1.5 | -1.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 18,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | -30.4 | +20.4 | +2.4 | +7.5 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +11.7 | -4.9 | -1.5 | -5.3 |
| South 3 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 5,200 from Kenji Katsumata | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -1.2 | +5.7 | -5.9 | +1.4 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -1.3 | -1.0 | -3.2 | +5.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -1.6 | +0.2 | +12.1 | -10.7 |