Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/22 Game 1
Suzuki Daisuke finished 1st (+104.4pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Suzuki Daisuke ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu, which moved Suzuki Daisuke's expected points by +30.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -4.4 | -3.0 | -0.1 | +7.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 6,000 | 21% | 23% | 24% | 32% | -4.7 | +22.2 | -8.1 | -9.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 18% | 39% | 19% | 24% | -29.0 | +30.2 | +0.9 | -2.1 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 1,600 from Katsumata Kenji | 4% | 66% | 14% | 16% | -0.6 | -0.5 | -7.2 | +8.2 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 4% | 66% | 10% | 20% | +13.2 | -1.6 | -9.2 | -2.4 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 8% | 67% | 6% | 19% | +0.8 | +18.6 | +1.7 | -21.0 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 4% | 88% | 4% | 4% | -14.3 | -0.3 | +20.6 | -6.0 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Daisuke tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 91% | 6% | 3% | -2.3 | +14.9 | -5.9 | -6.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 97% | 2% | 1% | -1.3 | +3.4 | -1.0 | -1.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Daisuke ron 18,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 0% | 98% | 1% | 0% | -29.9 | +20.8 | +3.1 | +6.1 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | +11.6 | -5.1 | -0.9 | -5.6 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 5,200 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -1.1 | +5.3 | -7.5 | +3.3 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -1.5 | -0.8 | -2.7 | +5.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | -1.7 | +0.3 | +12.2 | -10.8 |