Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/22 Game 2
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+73.3pt). The game was decided in South 1, 3 honba: Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +29.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 23% | 25% | 27% | -12.9 | +23.3 | -6.0 | -4.4 |
| East 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 12,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 16% | 41% | 21% | 23% | +0.7 | -4.3 | -27.5 | +31.2 |
| East 3 | Hinata Aiko ron 5,200 from Suzuki Daisuke | 15% | 33% | 8% | 44% | -1.3 | +1.4 | -14.6 | +14.6 |
| East 4 | Draw | 10% | 29% | 2% | 59% | -2.1 | -0.8 | +3.8 | -0.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 3,900 from Suzuki Daisuke | 10% | 29% | 3% | 59% | +12.0 | -3.0 | -8.4 | -0.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 3,900 | 15% | 25% | 2% | 58% | +10.8 | -5.0 | -1.6 | -4.3 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 23% | 23% | 2% | 52% | -27.9 | +29.2 | -0.8 | -0.6 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 9,600 from Suzuki Daisuke | 3% | 50% | 2% | 46% | 0.0 | +20.5 | -12.2 | -8.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 6,000 | 1% | 74% | 0% | 25% | -2.9 | +12.5 | -2.0 | -7.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 3,900 from Hinata Aiko | 0% | 88% | 0% | 11% | +7.3 | +0.9 | +0.4 | -8.7 |
| South 3 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 93% | 0% | 6% | -5.6 | -6.3 | -8.3 | +20.2 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Daisuke ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 0% | 84% | 0% | 16% | +0.1 | +7.0 | +9.5 | -16.6 |