Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/25 Game 2
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+65.8pt). The game was decided in South 1: Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +35.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 24% | 25% | 27% | +4.6 | -2.7 | -2.5 | +0.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 28% | 23% | 23% | 26% | -4.0 | +11.3 | +0.6 | -7.8 |
| East 2 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 16,000 | 24% | 30% | 24% | 22% | -8.6 | -24.2 | +40.4 | -7.5 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 16% | 13% | 57% | 15% | -0.3 | -22.2 | +0.3 | +22.2 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 5,200 | 14% | 4% | 57% | 25% | +17.3 | -3.8 | -1.3 | -12.2 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari | 23% | 4% | 56% | 17% | +35.8 | -0.4 | -35.6 | +0.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 2,600 from Suzuki Yu | 63% | 3% | 18% | 15% | -7.6 | -0.7 | +10.9 | -2.7 |
| South 2 | Draw | 56% | 3% | 26% | 15% | +5.1 | +2.6 | -4.4 | -3.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 3,900 | 63% | 3% | 20% | 13% | -2.4 | +9.8 | -2.4 | -4.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Draw | 62% | 6% | 21% | 11% | -2.0 | +6.9 | -2.6 | -2.3 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 2,000 from Okada Sayaka | 60% | 9% | 20% | 12% | +14.7 | -15.6 | -0.1 | +1.0 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 79% | 1% | 12% | 8% | -1.6 | -8.6 | -23.8 | +34.0 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 80% | 0% | 1% | 20% | +16.2 | -3.5 | -1.0 | -11.7 |