Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/26 Game 1
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+63.3pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +21.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 25% | 23% | 25% | -13.4 | +21.6 | -3.4 | -4.8 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 42% | 22% | 20% | -3.2 | +0.6 | -0.8 | +3.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Maki Asami tsumo 4,000 | 15% | 41% | 21% | 22% | -7.9 | -4.9 | +21.3 | -8.5 |
| East 3 | Kana Nakada ron 8,000 from Maki Asami | 12% | 37% | 35% | 16% | +24.6 | -0.9 | -27.4 | +3.8 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Maki Asami | 26% | 37% | 16% | 21% | -1.2 | +18.9 | -13.7 | -3.9 |
| South 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Kana Nakada | 21% | 57% | 8% | 15% | -26.8 | +2.0 | -0.9 | +25.6 |
| South 2 | Maki Asami ron 2,000 from Aiko Hinata | 5% | 59% | 7% | 29% | -2.3 | +3.4 | +6.9 | -8.0 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 69% | 8% | 20% | +2.9 | +10.5 | -11.6 | -1.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Maki Asami | 1% | 86% | 1% | 12% | +4.4 | +11.4 | -14.6 | -1.3 |