Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/26 Game 1
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+63.3pt). The game was decided in East 1: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +21.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -12.0 | +21.7 | -6.0 | -3.7 |
| East 2 | Draw | 16% | 42% | 20% | 22% | -3.1 | +1.5 | +0.3 | +1.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Asami Maki tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 43% | 20% | 24% | -4.9 | -8.0 | +20.1 | -7.1 |
| East 3 | Nakada Kana ron 8,000 from Asami Maki | 12% | 35% | 33% | 19% | +22.1 | +3.5 | -25.0 | -0.6 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Asami Maki | 25% | 40% | 16% | 19% | -1.7 | +17.7 | -14.3 | -1.7 |
| South 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Nakada Kana | 19% | 59% | 8% | 14% | -24.0 | +1.1 | -2.1 | +24.9 |
| South 2 | Asami Maki ron 2,000 from Hinata Aiko | 6% | 58% | 8% | 28% | -4.5 | +3.4 | +9.0 | -7.9 |
| South 3 | Draw | 3% | 68% | 10% | 19% | +3.5 | +10.7 | -13.0 | -1.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Asami Maki | 1% | 86% | 1% | 12% | +4.3 | +11.6 | -14.4 | -1.5 |