Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/26 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+81.1pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Suzuki Taro ron 7,700 from Sarukawa Masatoshi, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +30.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Sarukawa Masatoshi 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Sarukawa Masatoshi Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 9,600 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 25% | 26% | 23% | 26% | +24.4 | -1.0 | -22.2 | -1.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 43% | 22% | 12% | 23% | -1.2 | +0.1 | -2.4 | +3.6 |
| East 2 | Draw | 42% | 22% | 12% | 25% | -0.5 | -2.4 | +5.1 | -2.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 42% | 21% | 14% | 24% | 0.0 | -2.2 | -7.5 | +9.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 7,700 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 42% | 18% | 8% | 31% | -9.4 | -2.8 | -18.1 | +30.2 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 5,800 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 27% | 12% | 3% | 57% | -0.6 | -15.1 | +1.0 | +14.7 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 20% | 5% | 2% | 73% | -22.7 | +19.7 | -0.4 | +3.5 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki | 8% | 8% | 2% | 82% | -28.6 | +4.3 | +5.0 | +19.3 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 3,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 0% | 3% | 1% | 96% | +2.3 | -4.6 | -2.3 | +4.6 |
| South 3 | Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -10.0 | -6.8 | +19.7 | -2.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +28.7 | -4.1 | -23.1 | -1.4 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Sarukawa Masatoshi | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +0.4 | +2.2 | -6.4 | +3.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -7.7 | +11.7 | -2.5 | -1.5 |