Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2023-24 Regular Season

12/26 Game 2

Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+81.1pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Suzuki Taro ron 7,700 from Sarukawa Masatoshi, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +30.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Suzuki Taro● Nikaido Aki● Matsumoto Yoshihiro● Sarukawa Masatoshi0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Suzuki● Nikaido● Matsumoto● Sarukawa
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultNikaido Aki
1st-place chance
Matsumoto Yoshihiro
1st-place chance
Sarukawa Masatoshi
1st-place chance
Suzuki Taro
1st-place chance
Nikaido Aki
Expected pt change
Matsumoto Yoshihiro
Expected pt change
Sarukawa Masatoshi
Expected pt change
Suzuki Taro
Expected pt change
East 1Nikaido Aki ron 9,600 from Sarukawa Masatoshi25%26%23%26%+24.4-1.0-22.2-1.2
East 1, 1 honbaSuzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Sarukawa Masatoshi43%22%12%23%-1.2+0.1-2.4+3.6
East 2Draw42%22%12%25%-0.5-2.4+5.1-2.1
East 3, 1 honbaDraw42%21%14%24%0.0-2.2-7.5+9.8
East 4, 2 honbaSuzuki Taro ron 7,700 from Sarukawa Masatoshi42%18%8%31%-9.4-2.8-18.1+30.2
East 4, 3 honbaSuzuki Taro ron 5,800 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro27%12%3%57%-0.6-15.1+1.0+14.7
East 4, 4 honbaMatsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki20%5%2%73%-22.7+19.7-0.4+3.5
South 1Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki8%8%2%82%-28.6+4.3+5.0+19.3
South 2Suzuki Taro ron 3,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro0%3%1%96%+2.3-4.6-2.3+4.6
South 3Sarukawa Masatoshi tsumo 7,8000%0%1%99%-10.0-6.8+19.7-2.9
South 3, 1 honbaNikaido Aki tsumo 8,0000%0%1%99%+28.7-4.1-23.1-1.4
South 4Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Sarukawa Masatoshi0%0%0%100%+0.4+2.2-6.4+3.8
South 4, 1 honbaMatsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 1,1000%0%0%100%-7.7+11.7-2.5-1.5

All 2023-24 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)