Game · 2023-24 Regular Season
12/26 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+81.1pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Taro Suzuki ron 7,700 from Masatoshi Sarukawa, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +30.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Masatoshi Sarukawa 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Masatoshi Sarukawa Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 9,600 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | +26.2 | -1.1 | -25.0 | -0.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 43% | 23% | 11% | 23% | -2.5 | +0.2 | -2.6 | +4.8 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 41% | 22% | 11% | 26% | +1.9 | -5.2 | +6.1 | -2.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 44% | 19% | 14% | 24% | -1.4 | +0.1 | -6.8 | +8.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 7,700 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 43% | 18% | 9% | 31% | -6.8 | -4.9 | -18.6 | +30.3 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 5,800 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 28% | 12% | 3% | 57% | -1.3 | -15.6 | +2.9 | +14.0 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 21% | 5% | 2% | 72% | -23.8 | +22.2 | -1.1 | +2.6 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido | 8% | 10% | 2% | 79% | -27.6 | +2.8 | +3.5 | +21.3 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 3,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 0% | 3% | 1% | 97% | +1.5 | -4.6 | -1.3 | +4.3 |
| South 3 | Masatoshi Sarukawa tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -10.3 | -6.3 | +19.5 | -2.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +27.1 | -4.0 | -21.9 | -1.3 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Masatoshi Sarukawa | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +1.7 | +1.7 | -7.3 | +4.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -7.5 | +11.8 | -2.4 | -1.9 |