Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2023-24 Semifinals

4/8 Game 1

Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+50.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hinata Aiko ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +30.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Hinata Aiko● Suzuki Yu● Uchikawa Kotaro● Sonoda Ken0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Hinata● Suzuki● Uchikawa● Sonoda
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSuzuki Yu
1st-place chance
Uchikawa Kotaro
1st-place chance
Hinata Aiko
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Suzuki Yu
Expected pt change
Uchikawa Kotaro
Expected pt change
Hinata Aiko
Expected pt change
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
East 1Sonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Hinata Aiko25%25%25%25%-2.2+0.6-13.3+14.9
East 2Hinata Aiko ron 3,900 from Suzuki Yu22%24%17%37%-10.0-2.0+11.3+0.7
East 3Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,00016%22%24%38%+27.6-7.8-14.5-5.2
East 4Draw36%18%13%33%+1.1-1.7+1.8-1.2
South 1, 1 honbaHinata Aiko tsumo 8,00038%16%15%31%-18.0-6.8+28.8-4.0
South 2Draw22%15%34%29%+14.7-9.3+0.1-5.5
South 3, 1 honbaSonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Suzuki Yu35%9%32%24%-11.1-4.8+6.1+9.8
South 4Hinata Aiko ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken24%6%42%27%+3.1-8.7+30.6-24.9

All 2023-24 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)