Game · 2023-24 Semifinal Series
4/8 Game 1
Aiko Hinata finished 1st (+50.0pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000, which moved Aiko Hinata's expected points by +32.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 5,200 from Aiko Hinata | 25% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -2.1 | +0.3 | -12.3 | +14.2 |
| East 2 | Aiko Hinata ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki | 22% | 26% | 17% | 35% | -8.2 | -3.6 | +9.5 | +2.3 |
| East 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 23% | 22% | 37% | +26.4 | -6.8 | -15.0 | -4.6 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 36% | 18% | 13% | 33% | +0.2 | -0.6 | +0.4 | +0.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 37% | 18% | 13% | 32% | -16.4 | -8.4 | +32.2 | -7.4 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 14% | 35% | 27% | +13.9 | -10.0 | -1.9 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 2,000 from Yu Suzuki | 35% | 8% | 31% | 26% | -11.1 | -3.2 | +7.7 | +6.7 |
| South 4 | Aiko Hinata ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 26% | 7% | 42% | 26% | +2.7 | -9.4 | +30.3 | -23.7 |