Game · 2023-24 Semifinals
4/9 Game 2
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+60.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +53.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 1,000 from Nikaido Aki | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -0.7 | -3.6 | -0.8 | +5.0 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 23% | 23% | 24% | 29% | -5.0 | -1.2 | +2.5 | +3.7 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 22% | 26% | 33% | -7.3 | +27.1 | -13.8 | -6.0 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 1,500 from Kobayashi Go | 15% | 42% | 16% | 26% | +2.2 | -0.5 | -9.2 | +7.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho | 17% | 42% | 10% | 31% | -5.9 | +20.0 | +1.4 | -15.5 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 1,100 | 10% | 65% | 9% | 16% | -4.3 | +6.1 | -1.0 | -0.9 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki | 5% | 74% | 8% | 14% | -1.5 | -39.5 | -4.0 | +45.1 |
| South 3 | Draw | 5% | 21% | 9% | 65% | +5.1 | -2.2 | -9.5 | +6.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 14% | 2% | 79% | -4.1 | +53.9 | -11.1 | -38.7 |