Game · 2023-24 Semifinals
4/12 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+56.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Date Arisa, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +47.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Yu ron 5,200 from Date Arisa | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -5.1 | +15.2 | +1.5 | -11.7 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Yu ron 7,700 from Katsumata Kenji | 20% | 36% | 25% | 20% | +3.2 | +21.4 | -22.2 | -2.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Date Arisa ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 21% | 53% | 11% | 16% | -30.6 | -1.3 | +0.5 | +31.4 |
| East 3 | Draw | 6% | 50% | 11% | 33% | -1.2 | -1.9 | +1.1 | +2.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,700 | 6% | 48% | 11% | 35% | +11.8 | -3.4 | -6.7 | -1.7 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 10% | 47% | 8% | 35% | -9.6 | +14.8 | -0.3 | -4.9 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Date Arisa | 5% | 63% | 6% | 26% | -3.4 | +14.1 | -0.2 | -10.6 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 1% | 83% | 4% | 12% | -6.2 | -14.4 | +23.9 | -3.3 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 71% | 13% | 15% | -6.6 | -20.1 | +40.7 | -14.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Date Arisa tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 34% | 55% | 10% | -6.6 | -11.8 | -28.3 | +46.7 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Date Arisa | 0% | 23% | 21% | 55% | -0.2 | -2.2 | +47.7 | -45.3 |