Game · 2023-24 Semifinal Series
4/12 Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+56.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Arisa Date, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +49.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 5,200 from Arisa Date | 24% | 26% | 26% | 25% | +0.4 | +12.0 | -1.8 | -10.6 |
| East 2 | Yu Suzuki ron 7,700 from Kenji Katsumata | 24% | 34% | 25% | 18% | -1.3 | +23.9 | -21.6 | -1.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Arisa Date ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 19% | 54% | 12% | 15% | -28.2 | -2.4 | +0.6 | +29.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 50% | 10% | 33% | -4.8 | -2.5 | +2.0 | +5.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 2,700 | 5% | 46% | 11% | 38% | +14.4 | -3.1 | -8.8 | -2.5 |
| East 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 11% | 45% | 7% | 37% | -11.2 | +15.9 | +2.1 | -6.8 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Arisa Date | 5% | 64% | 6% | 24% | -3.1 | +13.9 | -0.7 | -10.1 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 1% | 83% | 4% | 12% | -4.6 | -14.4 | +22.3 | -3.3 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 71% | 12% | 15% | -7.4 | -20.3 | +41.6 | -13.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Arisa Date tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 35% | 55% | 9% | -7.1 | -10.4 | -29.9 | +47.5 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Arisa Date | 0% | 26% | 19% | 55% | 0.0 | -3.9 | +49.4 | -45.5 |