Game · 2023-24 Semifinal Series
4/15 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+59.6pt). The game was decided in East 3: Shingo Hori tsumo 16,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +44.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -7.4 | +8.6 | -4.6 | +3.5 |
| East 2 | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 19% | 30% | 24% | 26% | -20.7 | -1.7 | +26.5 | -4.1 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 16,000 | 8% | 27% | 42% | 23% | -8.4 | -11.2 | -24.3 | +44.0 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 4,000 | 5% | 16% | 18% | 62% | +8.6 | -0.8 | -3.5 | -4.3 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 16% | 16% | 60% | -11.6 | -8.8 | -2.9 | +23.3 |
| South 2 | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 1% | 5% | 7% | 87% | -5.2 | -6.6 | +27.1 | -15.3 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 1% | 3% | 26% | 71% | -6.0 | +1.0 | -6.4 | +11.4 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 8% | 91% | -2.5 | -1.0 | +2.1 | +1.4 |