Game · 2023-24 Semifinals
4/15 Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+59.6pt). The game was decided in East 3: Hori Shingo tsumo 16,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +45.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 24% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -5.8 | +8.3 | -1.8 | -0.7 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 21% | 30% | 24% | 25% | -21.2 | -1.8 | +23.9 | -1.0 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo tsumo 16,000 | 10% | 27% | 40% | 22% | -10.0 | -10.8 | -24.4 | +45.3 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 4,000 | 5% | 16% | 15% | 64% | +8.9 | -1.8 | -4.0 | -3.0 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 15% | 13% | 63% | -11.9 | -8.3 | -1.0 | +21.2 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 0% | 5% | 7% | 88% | -5.6 | -5.8 | +27.2 | -15.8 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo ron 2,600 from Shiratori Sho | 1% | 3% | 24% | 72% | -6.1 | +0.4 | -5.0 | +10.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 1% | 9% | 90% | -2.1 | -1.1 | +1.2 | +2.1 |