Game · 2023-24 Semifinals
4/16 Game 1
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+67.9pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +30.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Asami Maki 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Asami Maki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari | 23% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -20.7 | -1.6 | +21.3 | +1.1 |
| East 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 12% | 22% | 40% | 25% | -0.9 | -13.5 | +16.1 | -1.7 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 10% | 12% | 56% | 22% | -1.3 | -5.4 | +6.2 | +0.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 1,300 from Asami Maki | 9% | 10% | 62% | 20% | +1.2 | +6.2 | -1.4 | -6.0 |
| East 4 | Asami Maki tsumo 6,000 | 9% | 12% | 62% | 17% | -5.2 | -9.7 | -6.1 | +21.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 7% | 9% | 53% | 31% | -2.1 | +2.0 | -5.2 | +5.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 5,200 | 7% | 10% | 47% | 36% | -4.1 | -5.5 | +19.9 | -10.3 |
| South 1 | Draw | 5% | 5% | 71% | 20% | +0.9 | +5.7 | -3.9 | -2.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 5% | 7% | 67% | 21% | +33.7 | -28.3 | -0.4 | -4.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 18,000 from Asami Maki | 16% | 2% | 65% | 17% | +45.4 | +2.2 | -9.1 | -38.5 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 56% | 1% | 41% | 2% | +3.4 | +1.8 | -6.4 | +1.2 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Asami Maki tsumo 8,000 | 62% | 2% | 33% | 3% | -8.2 | -8.2 | -2.9 | +19.3 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari | 57% | 1% | 34% | 8% | -32.1 | +22.0 | +10.3 | -0.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 23% | 6% | 59% | 12% | +10.7 | -7.5 | -1.0 | -2.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 33% | 1% | 57% | 9% | -18.4 | -4.6 | +30.9 | -7.8 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 2,000 | 2% | 0% | 95% | 2% | +6.3 | -3.8 | -1.4 | -1.1 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,600 from Asami Maki | 1% | 0% | 97% | 2% | +1.6 | +20.3 | +1.6 | -23.5 |