Game · 2023-24 Semifinal Series
4/18 Game 1
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+68.4pt). The game was decided in East 4: Takaharu Ooi ron 18,000 from Sayaka Okada, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +43.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -5.9 | -3.4 | +14.6 | -5.3 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Sayaka Okada | 21% | 23% | 35% | 21% | +0.2 | -4.9 | -14.6 | +19.2 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki | 21% | 19% | 23% | 36% | +0.2 | -2.2 | -1.2 | +3.1 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 18,000 from Sayaka Okada | 20% | 18% | 23% | 39% | -1.8 | +0.8 | -42.7 | +43.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 10% | 8% | 3% | 80% | +0.2 | +0.1 | +2.5 | -2.7 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki | 9% | 9% | 3% | 80% | -0.9 | -6.3 | -1.4 | +8.5 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 3% | 5% | 1% | 91% | -22.3 | -1.0 | +22.3 | +1.0 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 1% | 4% | 96% | +1.1 | -11.1 | +3.8 | +6.2 |
| South 4 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +31.7 | -19.3 | -7.2 | -5.3 |