Game · 2023-24 Semifinals
4/18 Game 1
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+68.4pt). The game was decided in East 4: Ooi Takaharu ron 18,000 from Okada Sayaka, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +42.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 25% | 22% | 28% | -7.7 | -2.5 | +15.6 | -5.3 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Okada Sayaka | 20% | 23% | 33% | 23% | +0.7 | -6.9 | -10.3 | +16.4 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,000 from Suzuki Taro | 20% | 19% | 26% | 35% | +1.2 | -2.6 | -3.6 | +4.9 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 18,000 from Okada Sayaka | 21% | 18% | 21% | 40% | -1.3 | +3.0 | -43.8 | +42.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 10% | 8% | 2% | 80% | -1.2 | -0.9 | +4.1 | -2.0 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro | 8% | 8% | 3% | 81% | -0.7 | -4.9 | -2.0 | +7.6 |
| South 2 | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 3% | 5% | 2% | 90% | -22.3 | -1.5 | +22.1 | +1.7 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 1% | 3% | 96% | +1.6 | -10.9 | +3.4 | +5.9 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +31.8 | -19.6 | -6.8 | -5.4 |