Game · 2023-24 Semifinal Series
4/18 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+59.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +34.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -21.2 | -6.9 | +34.8 | -6.8 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori | 11% | 18% | 53% | 18% | +0.9 | -12.4 | +0.5 | +10.9 |
| East 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 12% | 12% | 53% | 24% | -8.2 | -4.3 | -1.0 | +13.5 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 7% | 8% | 52% | 33% | +4.3 | 0.0 | -5.1 | +0.8 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 11% | 9% | 46% | 34% | -13.7 | -1.0 | +14.8 | 0.0 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 2,000 | 2% | 6% | 64% | 28% | -2.3 | -5.3 | -0.1 | +7.7 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 1% | 1% | 64% | 34% | -20.5 | +24.5 | +2.6 | -6.7 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 0% | 6% | 73% | 21% | +0.2 | -6.5 | +13.3 | -7.0 |