Game · 2023-24 Semifinals
4/18 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+59.4pt). The game was decided in East 1: Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +35.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -20.9 | -7.9 | +35.2 | -6.4 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo | 13% | 17% | 52% | 18% | -0.6 | -12.1 | +1.0 | +11.8 |
| East 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 11% | 11% | 54% | 25% | -9.7 | -1.6 | -0.5 | +11.8 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 6% | 8% | 53% | 33% | +6.7 | -2.0 | -5.7 | +1.1 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 9% | 9% | 48% | 35% | -13.0 | -0.6 | +14.0 | -0.3 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 2,000 | 2% | 6% | 64% | 28% | -2.3 | -4.9 | +2.2 | +5.0 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 1% | 2% | 68% | 30% | -20.8 | +25.1 | +0.8 | -5.0 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 7% | 73% | 20% | -0.3 | -6.9 | +13.3 | -6.1 |