Game · 2023-24 Semifinals
4/19 Game 1
Nakabayashi Kei finished 1st (+59.4pt). The game was decided in South 2: Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000, which moved Nakabayashi Kei's expected points by +27.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +29.3 | +0.4 | -2.1 | -27.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 49% | 22% | 20% | 9% | -3.8 | -2.7 | +9.1 | -2.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 45% | 19% | 26% | 10% | +0.5 | -5.8 | +1.1 | +4.2 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 7,800 | 46% | 16% | 27% | 11% | -9.5 | -8.1 | +26.6 | -9.0 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 33% | 11% | 51% | 6% | -5.9 | -6.0 | -9.6 | +21.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 31% | 10% | 44% | 15% | +2.9 | -0.9 | +1.5 | -3.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 34% | 10% | 46% | 11% | -0.6 | +10.7 | +1.8 | -12.0 |
| South 2 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000 | 32% | 13% | 47% | 8% | -8.9 | -13.5 | +27.3 | -5.0 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 2% | 85% | 3% | +24.1 | -2.5 | -16.2 | -5.5 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 7,700 from Shiratori Sho | 39% | 0% | 58% | 3% | -0.8 | -22.3 | 0.0 | +23.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 1,300 from Takizawa Kazunori | 37% | 0% | 58% | 5% | -13.7 | -0.9 | +20.0 | -5.3 |