Game · 2023-24 Semifinal Series
4/22 Game 1
Takaya Matsugase finished 1st (+64.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Takaya Matsugase tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaya Matsugase's expected points by +52.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaya Matsugase ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 26% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -3.8 | +33.6 | -29.7 | -0.2 |
| East 2 | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 20% | 50% | 8% | 22% | -0.5 | -3.4 | -8.8 | +12.8 |
| East 3 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 4,000 | 18% | 45% | 6% | 31% | +13.6 | -3.0 | -8.3 | -2.3 |
| East 4 | Namba Shibukawa ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 27% | 42% | 3% | 28% | +24.7 | -0.7 | +0.3 | -24.3 |
| South 1 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 2,700 | 50% | 37% | 3% | 10% | -3.7 | -0.8 | -3.6 | +8.1 |
| South 2 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 4,000 | 48% | 37% | 2% | 14% | +16.8 | -10.6 | -1.4 | -4.8 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 73% | 17% | 2% | 8% | -3.6 | -2.4 | +0.7 | +5.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Namba Shibukawa ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 67% | 19% | 2% | 12% | +10.3 | -1.7 | -6.0 | -2.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 85% | 7% | 0% | 8% | -4.9 | +2.8 | -1.3 | +3.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 12,000 | 77% | 12% | 0% | 11% | -33.2 | +52.4 | -2.9 | -16.3 |