Game · 2023-24 Semifinals
4/22 Game 1
Matsugase Takaya finished 1st (+64.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Matsugase Takaya tsumo 12,000, which moved Matsugase Takaya's expected points by +53.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 26% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -4.7 | +30.2 | -27.2 | +1.7 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 20% | 48% | 8% | 24% | +0.9 | -3.6 | -8.0 | +10.7 |
| East 3 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 44% | 7% | 29% | +13.7 | -3.2 | -10.3 | -0.2 |
| East 4 | Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 27% | 41% | 3% | 29% | +23.4 | +1.6 | +1.0 | -26.0 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 2,700 | 50% | 37% | 3% | 10% | -2.5 | -3.2 | -2.5 | +8.1 |
| South 2 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 4,000 | 48% | 35% | 3% | 14% | +16.3 | -9.1 | -1.9 | -5.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 73% | 18% | 1% | 8% | -3.3 | -3.6 | +0.4 | +6.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 69% | 17% | 1% | 12% | +9.7 | -1.4 | -5.7 | -2.6 |
| South 4 | Draw | 85% | 7% | 0% | 8% | -4.7 | +2.4 | -1.4 | +3.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 12,000 | 77% | 11% | 0% | 12% | -33.5 | +53.3 | -2.8 | -17.0 |