Game · 2023-24 Semifinal Series
4/23 Game 1
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+58.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +46.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 26% | 23% | 26% | -18.1 | +33.2 | -8.9 | -6.2 |
| East 2 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 53% | 15% | 20% | +22.0 | -11.3 | -5.2 | -5.4 |
| East 3 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 26% | 41% | 15% | 18% | +28.3 | -24.5 | -2.7 | -1.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 53% | 19% | 12% | 16% | +1.8 | +2.2 | -1.0 | -3.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 56% | 20% | 11% | 13% | -31.9 | -1.5 | +34.0 | -0.6 |
| South 2 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 2,700 | 25% | 23% | 37% | 16% | +1.9 | -7.5 | +9.8 | -4.2 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki ron 7,700 from Taro Suzuki | 26% | 16% | 44% | 14% | -3.4 | -25.2 | +26.7 | +1.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 2,700 | 12% | 1% | 79% | 8% | +9.6 | -4.4 | -3.8 | -1.4 |
| South 4 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 14% | 1% | 77% | 8% | +46.8 | -15.1 | -29.1 | -2.6 |