Game · 2023-24 Semifinals
4/23 Game 1
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+58.0pt). The game was decided in South 4: Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +46.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -17.4 | +33.8 | -9.9 | -6.4 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 13% | 51% | 17% | 19% | +22.2 | -9.3 | -6.3 | -6.5 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 27% | 43% | 14% | 16% | +28.2 | -26.5 | -1.4 | -0.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 54% | 19% | 12% | 15% | +1.1 | +3.8 | -2.0 | -2.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 55% | 22% | 10% | 12% | -29.2 | -2.2 | +32.1 | -0.7 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 2,700 | 27% | 24% | 33% | 16% | -2.0 | -8.1 | +13.5 | -3.5 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Yu ron 7,700 from Suzuki Taro | 24% | 16% | 46% | 14% | -1.6 | -24.8 | +24.2 | +2.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 2,700 | 12% | 2% | 79% | 8% | +10.0 | -4.6 | -1.5 | -4.0 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 14% | 0% | 80% | 6% | +46.6 | -15.4 | -30.9 | -0.3 |