Game · 2023-24 Semifinals
4/23 Game 2
Nikaido Rumi finished 1st (+53.1pt). The game was decided in East 2: Nikaido Rumi ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro, which moved Nikaido Rumi's expected points by +29.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 27% | 24% | 25% | -12.1 | +18.2 | -2.5 | -3.7 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Rumi ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 16% | 39% | 22% | 23% | +1.1 | +29.8 | -29.2 | -1.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 6,000 | 12% | 65% | 6% | 16% | -5.3 | +11.8 | -2.9 | -3.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 2,600 from Nikaido Rumi | 8% | 77% | 4% | 11% | +0.7 | -6.4 | -0.1 | +5.9 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,800 from Nakabayashi Kei | 9% | 73% | 5% | 13% | -13.3 | -0.3 | +12.0 | +1.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 6,000 | 5% | 73% | 7% | 15% | -5.5 | -3.3 | +14.7 | -5.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 70% | 12% | 14% | -6.0 | -6.8 | -17.0 | +29.8 |
| East 4 | Draw | 3% | 60% | 5% | 33% | +1.5 | -4.8 | -2.8 | +6.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 4% | 52% | 5% | 40% | +2.6 | -3.9 | -2.5 | +3.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 4% | 49% | 4% | 43% | +12.3 | +5.9 | -2.8 | -15.4 |
| South 1 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,200 from Nikaido Rumi | 6% | 60% | 5% | 29% | -5.1 | -11.1 | +11.1 | +5.1 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,100 | 4% | 49% | 8% | 39% | -0.9 | -2.3 | -3.5 | +6.6 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Rumi ron 1,000 from Sonoda Ken | 3% | 45% | 7% | 45% | -4.0 | +14.1 | -3.7 | -6.4 |
| South 4 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 71% | 1% | 28% | +18.1 | +10.7 | -13.6 | -15.2 |