Game · 2023-24 Semifinal Series
4/25 Game 1
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+67.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Shingo Hori tsumo 18,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +46.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shingo Hori tsumo 18,000 | 24% | 24% | 24% | 27% | +46.3 | -13.2 | -18.1 | -15.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Mari Takamiya | 63% | 13% | 11% | 13% | -0.9 | -1.2 | +14.7 | -12.5 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Shingo Hori | 62% | 12% | 16% | 9% | -9.3 | -2.7 | +11.4 | +0.6 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Mari Takamiya | 54% | 11% | 24% | 11% | -0.2 | -0.7 | +10.3 | -9.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 1,000 from Mari Takamiya | 52% | 10% | 31% | 7% | +5.2 | +0.3 | -0.8 | -4.7 |
| East 4 | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 59% | 8% | 28% | 5% | -1.2 | +20.4 | -3.2 | -16.1 |
| South 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 56% | 17% | 25% | 2% | +6.9 | 0.0 | -21.4 | +14.5 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 71% | 14% | 11% | 3% | -4.2 | +7.5 | -1.9 | -1.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 64% | 21% | 12% | 3% | +27.2 | -32.3 | +4.7 | +0.4 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 7,700 from Akina Mizuhara | 95% | 0% | 4% | 1% | -0.4 | -19.4 | +18.3 | +1.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,800 from Mari Takamiya | 92% | 0% | 7% | 1% | -3.1 | +2.8 | +11.2 | -10.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Shingo Hori | 84% | 0% | 15% | 1% | -4.7 | +1.0 | +3.9 | -0.2 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 3,900 from Shingo Hori | 79% | 0% | 20% | 1% | -5.9 | +8.2 | +0.9 | -3.3 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori ron 2,000 from Mari Takamiya | 76% | 0% | 23% | 1% | +11.8 | +2.9 | -8.6 | -6.2 |