Game · 2023-24 Semifinals

4/25 Game 1

Hori Shingo finished 1st (+67.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Hori Shingo tsumo 18,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +46.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hands	Result	Hori Shingo 1st-place chance	Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance	Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance	Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance	Hori Shingo Expected pt change	Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change	Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change	Takamiya Mari Expected pt change
East 1	Hori Shingo tsumo 18,000	25%	26%	26%	24%	+46.3	-15.7	-16.4	-14.2
East 1, 1 honba	Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari	62%	13%	12%	13%	+0.3	-2.8	+12.2	-9.7
East 2	Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo	63%	11%	16%	10%	-10.6	-1.2	+13.6	-1.8
East 3	Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari	53%	11%	26%	10%	-0.6	-0.6	+8.7	-7.5
East 3, 1 honba	Hori Shingo ron 1,000 from Takamiya Mari	53%	9%	31%	7%	+5.4	+1.3	-3.2	-3.5
East 4	Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari	58%	9%	27%	6%	+0.7	+17.5	-0.5	-17.6
South 1	Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu	58%	15%	25%	2%	+3.6	+4.7	-22.2	+13.9
South 2	Draw	68%	17%	11%	4%	-2.4	+5.2	-1.3	-1.6
South 2, 1 honba	Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Mizuhara Akina	64%	22%	11%	3%	+27.8	-33.2	+5.1	+0.3
South 3	Ooi Takaharu ron 7,700 from Mizuhara Akina	95%	0%	4%	1%	-1.8	-18.8	+18.4	+2.2
South 3, 1 honba	Ooi Takaharu ron 5,800 from Takamiya Mari	90%	0%	9%	1%	-1.2	+3.8	+8.5	-11.1
South 3, 2 honba	Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Hori Shingo	88%	0%	12%	0%	-5.6	-0.3	+5.8	+0.2
South 3, 3 honba	Mizuhara Akina ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo	80%	0%	19%	1%	-6.0	+8.3	+0.3	-2.5
South 4	Hori Shingo ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari	77%	0%	22%	1%	+11.3	+3.2	-7.8	-6.8