Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2023-24 Semifinals

4/25 Game 1

Hori Shingo finished 1st (+67.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Hori Shingo tsumo 18,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +46.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Hori Shingo● Mizuhara Akina● Ooi Takaharu● Takamiya Mari0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Hori● Mizuhara● Ooi● Takamiya
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHori Shingo
1st-place chance
Mizuhara Akina
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Takamiya Mari
1st-place chance
Hori Shingo
Expected pt change
Mizuhara Akina
Expected pt change
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
Takamiya Mari
Expected pt change
East 1Hori Shingo tsumo 18,00025%26%26%24%+46.3-15.7-16.4-14.2
East 1, 1 honbaOoi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari62%13%12%13%+0.3-2.8+12.2-9.7
East 2Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo63%11%16%10%-10.6-1.2+13.6-1.8
East 3Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Takamiya Mari53%11%26%10%-0.6-0.6+8.7-7.5
East 3, 1 honbaHori Shingo ron 1,000 from Takamiya Mari53%9%31%7%+5.4+1.3-3.2-3.5
East 4Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Takamiya Mari58%9%27%6%+0.7+17.5-0.5-17.6
South 1Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu58%15%25%2%+3.6+4.7-22.2+13.9
South 2Draw68%17%11%4%-2.4+5.2-1.3-1.6
South 2, 1 honbaHori Shingo ron 12,000 from Mizuhara Akina64%22%11%3%+27.8-33.2+5.1+0.3
South 3Ooi Takaharu ron 7,700 from Mizuhara Akina95%0%4%1%-1.8-18.8+18.4+2.2
South 3, 1 honbaOoi Takaharu ron 5,800 from Takamiya Mari90%0%9%1%-1.2+3.8+8.5-11.1
South 3, 2 honbaOoi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Hori Shingo88%0%12%0%-5.6-0.3+5.8+0.2
South 3, 3 honbaMizuhara Akina ron 3,900 from Hori Shingo80%0%19%1%-6.0+8.3+0.3-2.5
South 4Hori Shingo ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari77%0%22%1%+11.3+3.2-7.8-6.8

All 2023-24 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)