Game · 2023-24 Semifinal Series
4/26 Game 2
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+51.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +22.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 25% | 23% | 26% | 25% | -1.1 | -18.9 | -2.9 | +22.8 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori ron 1,300 from Hisato Sasaki | 24% | 13% | 22% | 41% | -0.5 | -3.6 | +0.2 | +3.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 10% | 22% | 46% | +3.4 | -9.6 | +2.5 | +3.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 7% | 23% | 48% | -6.1 | +21.2 | -12.0 | -3.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 15% | 17% | 48% | +1.9 | +5.5 | -3.5 | -4.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 19% | 14% | 45% | -3.2 | +1.2 | -3.2 | +5.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 1,100 | 18% | 19% | 13% | 49% | -5.9 | -10.4 | +13.4 | +2.9 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 12% | 18% | 56% | -7.0 | +4.1 | -3.3 | +6.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 11% | 11% | 67% | -22.3 | -3.9 | +12.8 | +13.4 |