Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2023-24 Semifinals

4/26 Game 2

Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+51.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +18.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Shiratori Sho● Suzuki Taro● Sasaki Hisato● Matsugase Takaya0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Shiratori● Suzuki● Sasaki● Matsugase
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSuzuki Taro
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Matsugase Takaya
1st-place chance
Shiratori Sho
1st-place chance
Suzuki Taro
Expected pt change
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
Matsugase Takaya
Expected pt change
Shiratori Sho
Expected pt change
East 1Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato27%23%25%26%-0.7-18.2-0.1+18.9
East 2Shiratori Sho ron 1,300 from Sasaki Hisato24%15%23%38%-1.4-6.7+1.0+7.0
East 3Draw21%10%24%45%+4.3-7.7+0.8+2.6
East 3, 1 honbaSasaki Hisato tsumo 8,00023%7%24%46%-5.5+20.0-12.2-2.2
East 4Draw22%15%16%47%+1.8+5.8-4.4-3.2
South 1, 1 honbaDraw23%19%14%44%-4.8+1.4-2.9+6.3
South 2, 2 honbaMatsugase Takaya tsumo 1,10018%18%13%51%-4.8-12.1+15.3+1.7
South 3Draw14%10%20%57%-7.9+6.3-5.3+7.0
South 4, 1 honbaDraw10%11%11%68%-22.1-3.7+12.9+12.8

All 2023-24 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)