Game · 2023-24 Semifinals
4/29 Game 1
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+55.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Shibukawa Namba, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +42.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | -4.4 | -7.4 | +9.6 | +2.2 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 23% | 20% | 32% | 25% | -28.5 | +30.8 | -2.4 | +0.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Date Arisa ron 3,900 from Shibukawa Namba | 9% | 41% | 27% | 23% | -0.2 | +1.2 | -14.9 | +14.0 |
| East 3 | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 8% | 42% | 17% | 32% | -6.8 | -2.5 | +12.9 | -3.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Shibukawa Namba | 6% | 39% | 25% | 31% | +10.9 | +5.3 | -18.0 | +1.7 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 8% | 45% | 15% | 32% | +9.2 | -11.6 | +0.5 | +2.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 13% | 35% | 16% | 36% | -5.5 | +9.6 | -2.4 | -1.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 5,200 from Ooi Takaharu | 9% | 44% | 14% | 33% | -21.4 | +2.3 | +19.9 | -0.8 |
| South 3 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 6,000 | 1% | 48% | 21% | 30% | -4.6 | -15.5 | +29.6 | -9.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 23% | 54% | 22% | -0.5 | +1.4 | +0.3 | -1.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Shibukawa Namba | 0% | 24% | 58% | 18% | -1.4 | +42.6 | -25.8 | -15.5 |