Game · 2023-24 Semifinals
4/29 Game 2
Nikaido Rumi finished 1st (+54.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Nikaido Rumi ron 18,000 from Takamiya Mari, which moved Nikaido Rumi's expected points by +43.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Rumi ron 18,000 from Takamiya Mari | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | +43.6 | -40.8 | -0.7 | -2.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo | 59% | 6% | 18% | 18% | +22.5 | +1.8 | -1.0 | -23.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Draw | 79% | 3% | 12% | 5% | -4.9 | +2.3 | +1.7 | +0.9 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Hori Shingo ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 77% | 4% | 14% | 6% | +1.2 | -6.9 | -6.2 | +11.9 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 79% | 2% | 11% | 9% | +1.0 | +0.9 | -20.2 | +18.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 81% | 2% | 3% | 13% | +2.3 | -3.0 | +5.0 | -4.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 86% | 1% | 3% | 10% | +0.5 | +19.6 | -0.5 | -19.6 |
| South 2 | Draw | 90% | 3% | 3% | 4% | -1.3 | +3.2 | +0.8 | -2.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 5,800 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 90% | 4% | 4% | 3% | -1.2 | +20.4 | -17.3 | -1.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 88% | 7% | 3% | 3% | +3.1 | -0.6 | +21.8 | -24.3 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 94% | 1% | 4% | 1% | -25.6 | -5.9 | +31.9 | -0.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 65% | 8% | 24% | 3% | +9.6 | -0.7 | -10.3 | +1.4 |
| South 4 | Hori Shingo tsumo 18,000 | 85% | 5% | 7% | 3% | -11.9 | -23.8 | -19.0 | +54.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 72% | 3% | 6% | 18% | +15.0 | -9.2 | -3.7 | -2.1 |