Game · 2023-24 Semifinal Series
4/30 Game 2
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+106.4pt). The game was decided in East 4: Aki Nikaido ron 24,000 from Sho Shiratori, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +47.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 24% | 27% | 23% | 26% | -3.0 | -13.3 | +17.5 | -1.2 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 19% | 38% | 23% | -4.5 | +6.4 | -1.3 | -0.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 1,500 from Yu Suzuki | 20% | 21% | 36% | 23% | -1.2 | +6.9 | -5.4 | -0.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 6,400 from Ken Sonoda | 17% | 26% | 31% | 26% | -13.7 | -7.5 | +21.7 | -0.5 |
| East 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 6,000 | 11% | 18% | 50% | 21% | -5.8 | -6.4 | +16.3 | -4.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 11% | 65% | 17% | -1.8 | -3.1 | +4.6 | +0.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 9% | 70% | 15% | -7.9 | -6.7 | -18.9 | +33.6 |
| East 4 | Aki Nikaido ron 24,000 from Sho Shiratori | 4% | 8% | 46% | 42% | +5.9 | -41.1 | -12.6 | +47.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 1% | 0% | 12% | 87% | -19.1 | +5.2 | -2.5 | +16.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 0% | 0% | 5% | 95% | -2.2 | +11.9 | -10.1 | +0.3 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 2% | 97% | +2.5 | -2.2 | +2.2 | -2.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 2,600 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 0% | 3% | 97% | -9.0 | +8.4 | -0.4 | +1.1 |
| South 2 | Aki Nikaido ron 16,000 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 0% | 2% | 98% | -20.5 | +2.1 | +0.9 | +17.5 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +8.7 | -1.7 | -5.0 | -2.0 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +2.5 | -2.3 | -1.5 | +1.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 2,900 from Sho Shiratori | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +1.0 | -4.6 | -0.2 | +3.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +25.5 | -19.0 | -1.2 | -5.4 |