Game · 2023-24 Semifinals
4/30 Game 2
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+106.4pt). The game was decided in East 4: Nikaido Aki ron 24,000 from Shiratori Sho, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +47.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -6.8 | -12.4 | +17.1 | +2.0 |
| East 2 | Draw | 20% | 17% | 37% | 26% | -0.7 | +7.4 | -4.5 | -2.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 1,500 from Suzuki Yu | 21% | 20% | 33% | 26% | -0.7 | +5.8 | -4.0 | -1.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 6,400 from Sonoda Ken | 19% | 25% | 31% | 25% | -18.6 | -5.2 | +22.8 | +0.9 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 6,000 | 9% | 18% | 50% | 24% | -2.8 | -3.8 | +15.7 | -9.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 7% | 13% | 65% | 15% | -2.4 | -6.3 | +5.7 | +3.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 8% | 71% | 16% | -8.9 | -6.0 | -18.5 | +33.4 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 24,000 from Shiratori Sho | 4% | 8% | 48% | 40% | +8.6 | -43.1 | -13.4 | +47.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 1% | 0% | 12% | 87% | -20.5 | +5.8 | -2.0 | +16.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu | 0% | 0% | 4% | 95% | -3.7 | +13.9 | -10.2 | 0.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 2% | 98% | +4.0 | -3.5 | +1.5 | -2.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 2,600 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 0% | 3% | 97% | -8.5 | +7.0 | +0.8 | +0.7 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 16,000 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 0% | 2% | 98% | -21.3 | +3.5 | +0.3 | +17.5 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +8.9 | -2.3 | -4.9 | -1.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +2.4 | -1.8 | -1.1 | +0.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 2,900 from Shiratori Sho | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +1.1 | -4.9 | -0.3 | +4.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +25.5 | -18.6 | -1.4 | -5.4 |