Game · 2023-24 Semifinals
5/2 Game 2
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+65.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +37.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -13.1 | -5.9 | +22.7 | -3.7 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,100 | 15% | 22% | 42% | 22% | +0.1 | -5.4 | +6.1 | -0.8 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 16% | 48% | 21% | -8.0 | -8.2 | -21.6 | +37.8 |
| East 4 | Draw | 11% | 12% | 25% | 52% | -4.2 | +5.4 | +4.7 | -5.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 10% | 14% | 30% | 47% | -25.2 | +29.8 | -3.0 | -1.5 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 32% | 24% | 43% | -3.2 | -17.0 | -7.3 | +27.6 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 8% | 13% | 79% | -3.3 | -1.2 | -12.6 | +17.0 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | -2.3 | -15.6 | +22.6 | -4.8 |