Game · 2023-24 Semifinal Series
5/2 Game 2
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+65.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +33.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -10.9 | -8.0 | +21.0 | -2.2 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,100 | 17% | 20% | 41% | 23% | -1.9 | -2.9 | +4.4 | +0.4 |
| East 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 18% | 45% | 22% | -7.0 | -7.7 | -19.0 | +33.7 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 12% | 27% | 49% | -5.1 | +4.6 | +3.8 | -3.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 10% | 15% | 29% | 47% | -25.1 | +26.8 | -1.5 | -0.2 |
| South 2 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 29% | 25% | 45% | -3.5 | -13.6 | -8.9 | +26.1 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 9% | 12% | 79% | -2.2 | -1.5 | -13.0 | +16.8 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | -2.5 | -16.1 | +23.4 | -4.8 |