Game · 2018-19 Finals
3/2 Game 1
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+65.3pt). The game was decided in East 3, 3 honba: Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +35.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -3.0 | +7.9 | -4.4 | -0.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 4,000 | 24% | 29% | 23% | 25% | +16.5 | -11.3 | -1.6 | -3.6 |
| East 3 | Draw | 35% | 21% | 22% | 22% | +4.3 | -9.2 | +1.6 | +3.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 2,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 40% | 14% | 22% | 25% | -2.7 | +1.0 | +6.1 | -4.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 18,000 | 37% | 16% | 26% | 22% | -17.3 | -14.4 | +48.4 | -16.7 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 6% | 69% | 9% | -8.7 | +35.6 | -17.2 | -9.8 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 24% | 52% | 9% | +20.9 | -5.6 | -2.2 | -13.1 |
| South 1 | Draw | 26% | 21% | 50% | 3% | +5.7 | -3.0 | -4.9 | +2.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 5,200 from Nikaido Aki | 33% | 19% | 44% | 4% | -18.8 | -2.1 | +21.5 | -0.6 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 11% | 14% | 72% | 3% | -5.7 | +33.7 | -9.5 | -18.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 7% | 40% | 52% | 1% | -0.8 | +6.2 | -4.3 | -1.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 5,200 | 8% | 48% | 43% | 1% | -6.1 | -4.9 | +1.7 | +9.4 |
| South 3 | Draw | 5% | 45% | 49% | 2% | -3.4 | +9.4 | -7.2 | +1.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 5,200 | 3% | 61% | 35% | 1% | -2.3 | +23.8 | -13.8 | -7.8 |