Season · 2018-19 · 164 games

The hand that decided each game

The hand whose result moved the expected final points the most is "the hand that decided the game". Follow a game's name for its 1st-place probability hand by hand.

The hand that swung a game most this season

+92.8

Regular Season 11/8 Game 1 · South 4 · Kayamori Sayaka

2nd

+71.1

Regular Season 11/5 Game 1 · South 4 · Nikaido Aki

3rd

+69.6

Regular Season 1/8 Game 2 · South 4, 2 honba · Katsumata Kenji

Regular Season140 games

Game	The deciding hand	Player moved most	Expected pt change
1/7 Game 1	East 1 · Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000	Sasaki Hisato	+32.9
1/7 Game 2	South 3 · Katsumata Kenji tsumo 9,600	Katsumata Kenji	+26.5
1/8 Game 1	South 2 · Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Asakura Koshin	Hagiwara Masato	+46.5
1/8 Game 2	South 4, 2 honba · Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go	Katsumata Kenji	+69.6
1/10 Game 1	East 1 · Murakami Jun tsumo 24,000	Murakami Jun	+54.9
1/10 Game 2	East 4 · Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000	Takizawa Kazunori	+49.1
1/11 Game 1	South 1 · Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro	Matsumoto Yoshihiro	+31.5
1/11 Game 2	East 4 · Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000	Ooi Takaharu	+27.4
1/14 Game 1	East 2 · Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000	Maehara Yudai	+32.4
1/14 Game 2	South 4 · Uotani Yuumi tsumo 4,000	Uotani Yuumi	+31.6
1/15 Game 1	South 3 · Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000	Takizawa Kazunori	+50.5
1/15 Game 2	South 4 · Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro	Sonoda Ken	+46.3
1/17 Game 1	East 2 · Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari	Matsumoto Yoshihiro	+33.1
1/17 Game 2	South 4, 1 honba · Setokuma Naoki ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji	Setokuma Naoki	+50.0
1/18 Game 1	South 3, 1 honba · Sasaki Hisato ron 18,000 from Shiratori Sho	Sasaki Hisato	+46.6
1/18 Game 2	East 2, 2 honba · Kayamori Sayaka ron 16,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro	Kayamori Sayaka	+50.2
1/21 Game 1	South 2, 1 honba · Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000	Kobayashi Go	+30.5
1/21 Game 2	South 1 · Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000	Suzuki Taro	+43.2
1/22 Game 1	East 4, 1 honba · Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000	Ooi Takaharu	+41.4
1/22 Game 2	East 1, 3 honba · Uotani Yuumi tsumo 16,000	Uotani Yuumi	+41.6
1/24 Game 1	South 2 · Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000	Kondo Seiichi	+36.6
1/24 Game 2	East 1 · Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000	Kondo Seiichi	+34.1
1/25 Game 1	East 4 · Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka	Ooi Takaharu	+33.7
1/25 Game 2	East 4 · Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 18,000	Kayamori Sayaka	+52.5
1/28 Game 1	South 3 · Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki	Asakura Koshin	+34.4
1/28 Game 2	South 1 · Kurosawa Saki ron 18,000 from Asakura Koshin	Kurosawa Saki	+57.3
1/29 Game 1	South 3, 1 honba · Kobayashi Go tsumo 18,000	Kobayashi Go	+61.3
1/29 Game 2	South 3, 1 honba · Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000	Takizawa Kazunori	+47.2
1/31 Game 1	South 4 · Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki	Asakura Koshin	+43.5
1/31 Game 2	South 2, 1 honba · Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000	Suzuki Taro	+47.4
2/1 Game 1	East 2, 1 honba · Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000	Kondo Seiichi	+32.4
2/1 Game 2	East 4 · Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000	Hagiwara Masato	+40.7
2/4 Game 1	East 3 · Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki	Sonoda Ken	+26.4
2/4 Game 2	South 4 · Draw	Sonoda Ken	+31.6
2/5 Game 1	East 4, 6 honba · Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000	Ooi Takaharu	+30.1
2/5 Game 2	East 2 · Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000	Ooi Takaharu	+45.0
2/7 Game 1	South 3, 1 honba · Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000	Sasaki Hisato	+42.9
2/7 Game 2	East 4 · Takizawa Kazunori ron 32,000 from Sonoda Ken	Takizawa Kazunori	+60.8
2/8 Game 1	South 4, 1 honba · Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki	Ooi Takaharu	+21.9
2/8 Game 2	South 1 · Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro	Ooi Takaharu	+36.7
2/11 Game 1	East 1 · Maehara Yudai ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken	Maehara Yudai	+30.2
2/11 Game 2	East 3 · Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken	Hagiwara Masato	+36.2
2/12 Game 1	South 4 · Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000	Asakura Koshin	+47.4
2/12 Game 2	South 4 · Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000	Kondo Seiichi	+51.9
10/1 Game 1	South 3 · Sonoda Ken ron 18,000 from Kobayashi Go	Sonoda Ken	+42.6
10/1 Game 2	South 4 · Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 12,000 from Suzuki Taro	Ishibashi Nobuhiro	+41.7
10/2 Game 1	South 4, 1 honba · Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato	Murakami Jun	+68.6
10/2 Game 2	East 1 · Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000	Ooi Takaharu	+32.9
10/4 Game 1	East 4 · Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000	Shiratori Sho	+35.8
10/4 Game 2	South 2, 3 honba · Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato	Matsumoto Yoshihiro	+29.9
10/5 Game 1	East 1 · Murakami Jun ron 12,000 from Takamiya Mari	Murakami Jun	+30.2
10/5 Game 2	East 3 · Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000	Suzuki Taro	+42.9
10/8 Game 1	East 1 · Setokuma Naoki ron 18,000 from Sasaki Hisato	Setokuma Naoki	+44.5
10/8 Game 2	East 3 · Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000	Maehara Yudai	+38.5
10/9 Game 1	East 3, 3 honba · Shiratori Sho ron 7,700 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro	Shiratori Sho	+22.5
10/9 Game 2	East 3, 1 honba · Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato	Ooi Takaharu	+29.5
10/11 Game 1	East 3, 1 honba · Kondo Seiichi ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun	Kondo Seiichi	+34.4
10/11 Game 2	South 3 · Kondo Seiichi ron 9,600 from Nikaido Aki	Kondo Seiichi	+37.0
10/12 Game 1	South 2, 2 honba · Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Maehara Yudai	Takizawa Kazunori	+28.3
10/12 Game 2	South 1 · Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 24,000 from Kobayashi Go	Matsumoto Yoshihiro	+57.0
10/15 Game 1	East 2, 1 honba · Maehara Yudai tsumo 18,000	Maehara Yudai	+37.8
10/15 Game 2	East 3, 1 honba · Sonoda Ken tsumo 24,000	Sonoda Ken	+69.1
10/16 Game 1	East 1 · Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 24,000	Takizawa Kazunori	+54.6
10/16 Game 2	South 1 · Setokuma Naoki tsumo 18,000	Setokuma Naoki	+37.3
10/18 Game 1	South 1, 2 honba · Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Kondo Seiichi	Hagiwara Masato	+33.2
10/18 Game 2	South 3 · Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000	Uotani Yuumi	+42.0
10/19 Game 1	South 1 · Ooi Takaharu ron 7,700 from Nikaido Aki	Ooi Takaharu	+24.5
10/19 Game 2	East 4 · Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro	Nikaido Aki	+29.5
10/22 Game 1	East 3 · Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000	Kurosawa Saki	+36.9
10/22 Game 2	East 2 · Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000	Setokuma Naoki	+31.8
10/23 Game 1	East 2, 2 honba · Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000	Kondo Seiichi	+33.4
10/23 Game 2	South 1 · Asakura Koshin ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato	Asakura Koshin	+38.0
10/25 Game 1	East 3, 1 honba · Kobayashi Go tsumo 24,000	Kobayashi Go	+56.0
10/25 Game 2	South 2, 1 honba · Asakura Koshin tsumo 8,000	Asakura Koshin	+26.6
10/26 Game 1	South 1, 1 honba · Sasaki Hisato ron 32,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro	Sasaki Hisato	+67.3
10/26 Game 2	East 4 · Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000	Sasaki Hisato	+36.6
10/29 Game 1	South 3, 2 honba · Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000	Murakami Jun	+62.6
10/29 Game 2	South 2 · Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000	Sasaki Hisato	+40.7
10/30 Game 1	South 2, 1 honba · Kayamori Sayaka ron 16,000 from Maehara Yudai	Kayamori Sayaka	+43.2
10/30 Game 2	South 3 · Ooi Takaharu tsumo 18,000	Ooi Takaharu	+34.5
11/1 Game 1	South 1 · Nikaido Aki tsumo 18,000	Nikaido Aki	+50.4
11/1 Game 2	South 1 · Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000	Setokuma Naoki	+30.1
11/2 Game 1	East 2 · Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000	Nikaido Aki	+37.1
11/2 Game 2	South 2 · Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000	Sonoda Ken	+31.4
11/5 Game 1	South 4 · Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000	Nikaido Aki	+71.1
11/5 Game 2	East 3 · Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000	Takizawa Kazunori	+23.5
11/6 Game 1	East 3 · Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000	Shiratori Sho	+32.4
11/6 Game 2	South 2, 1 honba · Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000	Kobayashi Go	+46.9
11/8 Game 1	South 4 · Kayamori Sayaka ron 24,000 from Murakami Jun	Kayamori Sayaka	+92.8
11/8 Game 2	South 4 · Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka	Takamiya Mari	+34.4
11/9 Game 1	South 1 · Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000	Maehara Yudai	+32.0
11/9 Game 2	East 1 · Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai	Matsumoto Yoshihiro	+33.3
11/12 Game 1	East 2, 2 honba · Sasaki Hisato ron 5,200 from Kurosawa Saki	Sasaki Hisato	+21.2
11/12 Game 2	South 1, 1 honba · Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 2,700	Ishibashi Nobuhiro	+21.9
11/13 Game 1	South 3, 1 honba · Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 18,000	Kayamori Sayaka	+66.8
11/13 Game 2	East 1, 2 honba · Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000	Sonoda Ken	+37.8
11/15 Game 1	East 2 · Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000	Suzuki Taro	+43.4
11/15 Game 2	South 4 · Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000	Suzuki Taro	+50.5
11/16 Game 1	East 4 · Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Asakura Koshin	Kayamori Sayaka	+33.5
11/16 Game 2	South 1, 3 honba · Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000	Katsumata Kenji	+38.6
11/19 Game 1	East 3 · Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000	Suzuki Taro	+36.3
11/19 Game 2	South 4 · Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,000	Sasaki Hisato	+42.3
11/20 Game 1	East 3, 2 honba · Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000	Kurosawa Saki	+51.5
11/20 Game 2	South 3 · Katsumata Kenji tsumo 24,000	Katsumata Kenji	+48.3
11/22 Game 1	South 3 · Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori	Kayamori Sayaka	+34.4
11/22 Game 2	South 3, 1 honba · Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000	Suzuki Taro	+35.4
11/23 Game 1	East 4 · Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000	Uotani Yuumi	+35.2
11/23 Game 2	South 2, 2 honba · Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 12,000 from Hagiwara Masato	Ishibashi Nobuhiro	+42.6
11/26 Game 1	South 4 · Shiratori Sho tsumo 5,200	Shiratori Sho	+45.3
11/26 Game 2	East 1 · Setokuma Naoki tsumo 18,000	Setokuma Naoki	+42.7
11/27 Game 1	East 3 · Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro	Kurosawa Saki	+26.4
11/27 Game 2	South 1, 1 honba · Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000	Suzuki Taro	+39.8
11/29 Game 1	East 2 · Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 18,000	Matsumoto Yoshihiro	+42.2
11/29 Game 2	South 4, 4 honba · Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000	Takizawa Kazunori	+42.6
11/30 Game 1	South 2, 2 honba · Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Murakami Jun	Kurosawa Saki	+42.3
11/30 Game 2	South 3 · Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki	Sonoda Ken	+35.6
12/3 Game 1	South 2, 1 honba · Asakura Koshin ron 7,700 from Suzuki Taro	Asakura Koshin	+32.3
12/3 Game 2	South 2 · Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki	Sonoda Ken	+38.7
12/4 Game 1	South 3 · Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000	Kondo Seiichi	+36.7
12/4 Game 2	East 4 · Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000	Katsumata Kenji	+33.7
12/6 Game 1	East 2 · Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho	Takizawa Kazunori	+36.8
12/6 Game 2	East 3 · Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken	Sasaki Hisato	+31.1
12/7 Game 1	South 3, 2 honba · Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000	Kurosawa Saki	+45.6
12/7 Game 2	South 3, 4 honba · Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Murakami Jun	Hagiwara Masato	+29.8
12/10 Game 1	East 4 · Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000	Sasaki Hisato	+39.0
12/10 Game 2	South 4 · Sasaki Hisato ron 1,000 from Setokuma Naoki	Sasaki Hisato	+32.0
12/11 Game 1	South 4 · Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000	Matsumoto Yoshihiro	+32.2
12/11 Game 2	South 4, 1 honba · Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 7,700 from Uotani Yuumi	Ishibashi Nobuhiro	+35.3
12/13 Game 1	East 2, 1 honba · Uotani Yuumi tsumo 12,000	Uotani Yuumi	+31.9
12/13 Game 2	East 1 · Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000	Sonoda Ken	+29.5
12/14 Game 1	South 4, 1 honba · Shiratori Sho tsumo 5,200	Shiratori Sho	+47.0
12/14 Game 2	South 2 · Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho	Hagiwara Masato	+35.8
12/17 Game 1	South 4 · Asakura Koshin ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu	Asakura Koshin	+40.6
12/17 Game 2	East 3 · Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000	Maehara Yudai	+25.8
12/18 Game 1	East 1 · Suzuki Taro tsumo 16,000	Suzuki Taro	+41.1
12/18 Game 2	East 4 · Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Setokuma Naoki	Shiratori Sho	+32.8
12/20 Game 1	South 4 · Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000	Hagiwara Masato	+49.4
12/20 Game 2	South 1 · Maehara Yudai ron 18,000 from Setokuma Naoki	Maehara Yudai	+48.7
12/21 Game 1	South 1 · Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu	Suzuki Taro	+26.9
12/21 Game 2	East 3, 1 honba · Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori	Sonoda Ken	+26.2

Finals24 games

Game	The deciding hand	Player moved most	Expected pt change
3/2 Game 1	East 3, 3 honba · Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000	Suzuki Taro	+35.6
3/2 Game 2	East 3 · Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000	Murakami Jun	+37.3
3/2 Game 3	South 2 · Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori	Suzuki Taro	+35.7
3/3 Game 1	East 3 · Nikaido Aki tsumo 16,000	Nikaido Aki	+43.1
3/3 Game 2	South 4 · Shiratori Sho tsumo 1,100	Shiratori Sho	+32.5
3/3 Game 3	East 1 · Katsumata Kenji tsumo 7,800	Katsumata Kenji	+23.1
3/9 Game 1	South 4 · Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000	Takizawa Kazunori	+46.8
3/9 Game 2	South 2, 1 honba · Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori	Matsumoto Yoshihiro	+39.7
3/9 Game 3	East 2 · Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000	Suzuki Taro	+46.7
3/10 Game 1	South 1, 2 honba · Nikaido Aki tsumo 16,000	Nikaido Aki	+31.6
3/10 Game 2	South 3, 1 honba · Suzuki Taro ron 3,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro	Suzuki Taro	+25.9
3/10 Game 3	South 4 · Sonoda Ken tsumo 4,000	Sonoda Ken	+36.6
3/23 Game 1	East 3 · Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000	Murakami Jun	+32.7
3/23 Game 2	South 1, 1 honba · Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000	Sonoda Ken	+32.1
3/23 Game 3	East 4 · Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000	Katsumata Kenji	+23.3
3/24 Game 1	East 1 · Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji	Shiratori Sho	+22.3
3/24 Game 2	East 2, 1 honba · Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai	Ooi Takaharu	+33.8
3/24 Game 3	South 3, 1 honba · Sasaki Hisato ron 18,000 from Ooi Takaharu	Sasaki Hisato	+64.1
3/30 Game 1	East 4 · Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000	Suzuki Taro	+50.0
3/30 Game 2	South 2, 1 honba · Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000	Murakami Jun	+48.7
3/30 Game 3	South 1, 2 honba · Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000	Takizawa Kazunori	+43.9
3/31 Game 1	East 1 · Takamiya Mari tsumo 16,000	Takamiya Mari	+43.4
3/31 Game 2	East 4, 4 honba · Shiratori Sho tsumo 18,000	Shiratori Sho	+29.0
3/31 Game 3	South 4, 1 honba · Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000	Ooi Takaharu	+42.6

Expected pt change: how much the player's expected final points (estimated by simulation) moved over that hand (Methodology 6 (Japanese)).The game results themselves are on the official M.League site.