Season · 2018-19 · 164 games

The hand that decided each game

The hand whose result moved the expected final points the most is "the hand that decided the game". Follow a game's name for its 1st-place probability hand by hand.

The hand that swung a game most this season

+93.3

Regular Season 11/8 Game 1 · South 4 · Sayaka Kayamori

2nd

+71.9

Regular Season 11/5 Game 1 · South 4 · Aki Nikaido

3rd

+69.0

Regular Season 10/15 Game 2 · East 3, 1 honba · Ken Sonoda

Regular Season140 games

Game	The deciding hand	Player moved most	Expected pt change
1/7 Game 1	East 2, 1 honba · Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000	Hisato Sasaki	+32.1
1/7 Game 2	South 3 · Kenji Katsumata tsumo 9,600	Kenji Katsumata	+29.8
1/8 Game 1	South 2 · Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Koshin Asakura	Masato Hagiwara	+45.9
1/8 Game 2	South 4, 2 honba · Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Go Kobayashi	Kenji Katsumata	+68.9
1/10 Game 1	East 1 · Jun Murakami tsumo 24,000	Jun Murakami	+54.1
1/10 Game 2	East 4 · Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000	Kazunori Takizawa	+50.4
1/11 Game 1	South 1 · Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki	Yoshihiro Matsumoto	+34.3
1/11 Game 2	East 4 · Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000	Takaharu Ooi	+25.8
1/14 Game 1	East 2 · Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000	Yudai Maehara	+32.3
1/14 Game 2	South 4 · Yuumi Uotani tsumo 4,000	Yuumi Uotani	+30.5
1/15 Game 1	South 3 · Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000	Kazunori Takizawa	+49.9
1/15 Game 2	South 4 · Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi	Ken Sonoda	+45.4
1/17 Game 1	East 2 · Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya	Yoshihiro Matsumoto	+32.9
1/17 Game 2	South 4, 1 honba · Naoki Setokuma ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata	Naoki Setokuma	+49.7
1/18 Game 1	South 3, 1 honba · Hisato Sasaki ron 18,000 from Sho Shiratori	Hisato Sasaki	+44.8
1/18 Game 2	East 2, 2 honba · Sayaka Kayamori ron 16,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto	Sayaka Kayamori	+48.6
1/21 Game 1	South 2, 1 honba · Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000	Go Kobayashi	+29.9
1/21 Game 2	South 1 · Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000	Taro Suzuki	+39.5
1/22 Game 1	East 4, 1 honba · Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000	Takaharu Ooi	+41.7
1/22 Game 2	East 1, 3 honba · Yuumi Uotani tsumo 16,000	Yuumi Uotani	+43.9
1/24 Game 1	South 2 · Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000	Seiichi Kondo	+36.7
1/24 Game 2	East 1 · Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000	Seiichi Kondo	+30.3
1/25 Game 1	East 4 · Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori	Takaharu Ooi	+34.9
1/25 Game 2	East 4 · Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 18,000	Sayaka Kayamori	+48.6
1/28 Game 1	South 3 · Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido	Koshin Asakura	+35.8
1/28 Game 2	South 1 · Saki Kurosawa ron 18,000 from Koshin Asakura	Saki Kurosawa	+59.3
1/29 Game 1	South 3, 1 honba · Go Kobayashi tsumo 18,000	Go Kobayashi	+60.1
1/29 Game 2	South 3, 1 honba · Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000	Kazunori Takizawa	+48.2
1/31 Game 1	South 4 · Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa	Koshin Asakura	+44.2
1/31 Game 2	South 2, 1 honba · Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000	Taro Suzuki	+49.6
2/1 Game 1	East 2, 1 honba · Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000	Seiichi Kondo	+36.9
2/1 Game 2	East 4 · Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000	Masato Hagiwara	+41.0
2/4 Game 1	South 2 · Ken Sonoda ron 5,200 from Aki Nikaido	Ken Sonoda	+25.5
2/4 Game 2	South 4 · Exhaustive draw	Ken Sonoda	+32.2
2/5 Game 1	East 4, 6 honba · Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000	Takaharu Ooi	+29.9
2/5 Game 2	East 2 · Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000	Takaharu Ooi	+43.4
2/7 Game 1	South 3, 1 honba · Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000	Hisato Sasaki	+42.7
2/7 Game 2	East 4 · Kazunori Takizawa ron 32,000 from Ken Sonoda	Kazunori Takizawa	+63.0
2/8 Game 1	South 4, 1 honba · Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma	Takaharu Ooi	+21.5
2/8 Game 2	South 1 · Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Nobuhiro Ishibashi	Takaharu Ooi	+37.4
2/11 Game 1	East 1 · Yudai Maehara ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda	Yudai Maehara	+32.4
2/11 Game 2	East 3 · Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda	Masato Hagiwara	+36.5
2/12 Game 1	South 4 · Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000	Koshin Asakura	+48.6
2/12 Game 2	South 4 · Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000	Seiichi Kondo	+51.7
10/1 Game 1	South 3 · Ken Sonoda ron 18,000 from Go Kobayashi	Ken Sonoda	+44.2
10/1 Game 2	South 4 · Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki	Nobuhiro Ishibashi	+41.8
10/2 Game 1	South 4, 1 honba · Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki	Jun Murakami	+68.6
10/2 Game 2	East 1 · Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000	Takaharu Ooi	+32.8
10/4 Game 1	East 4 · Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000	Sho Shiratori	+36.8
10/4 Game 2	South 2, 3 honba · Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki	Yoshihiro Matsumoto	+28.4
10/5 Game 1	East 1 · Jun Murakami ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya	Jun Murakami	+29.3
10/5 Game 2	East 3 · Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000	Taro Suzuki	+43.8
10/8 Game 1	East 1 · Naoki Setokuma ron 18,000 from Hisato Sasaki	Naoki Setokuma	+42.5
10/8 Game 2	East 3 · Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000	Yudai Maehara	+39.5
10/9 Game 1	East 3, 2 honba · Sho Shiratori ron 5,800 from Sayaka Kayamori	Sho Shiratori	+24.6
10/9 Game 2	East 3, 1 honba · Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki	Takaharu Ooi	+31.1
10/11 Game 1	East 3, 1 honba · Seiichi Kondo ron 12,000 from Jun Murakami	Seiichi Kondo	+34.9
10/11 Game 2	South 3 · Seiichi Kondo ron 9,600 from Aki Nikaido	Seiichi Kondo	+36.9
10/12 Game 1	South 2, 2 honba · Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara	Kazunori Takizawa	+26.5
10/12 Game 2	South 1 · Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 24,000 from Go Kobayashi	Yoshihiro Matsumoto	+57.8
10/15 Game 1	East 2, 1 honba · Yudai Maehara tsumo 18,000	Yudai Maehara	+38.7
10/15 Game 2	East 3, 1 honba · Ken Sonoda tsumo 24,000	Ken Sonoda	+69.0
10/16 Game 1	East 1 · Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 24,000	Kazunori Takizawa	+57.7
10/16 Game 2	South 1 · Naoki Setokuma tsumo 18,000	Naoki Setokuma	+37.9
10/18 Game 1	South 1, 2 honba · Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Seiichi Kondo	Masato Hagiwara	+34.0
10/18 Game 2	South 3 · Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000	Yuumi Uotani	+40.3
10/19 Game 1	South 1 · Takaharu Ooi ron 7,700 from Aki Nikaido	Takaharu Ooi	+22.9
10/19 Game 2	East 4 · Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto	Aki Nikaido	+29.4
10/22 Game 1	East 3 · Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000	Saki Kurosawa	+36.1
10/22 Game 2	East 2 · Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000	Naoki Setokuma	+34.1
10/23 Game 1	East 2, 2 honba · Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000	Seiichi Kondo	+31.0
10/23 Game 2	South 1 · Koshin Asakura ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara	Koshin Asakura	+39.4
10/25 Game 1	East 3, 1 honba · Go Kobayashi tsumo 24,000	Go Kobayashi	+55.2
10/25 Game 2	South 2, 1 honba · Koshin Asakura tsumo 8,000	Koshin Asakura	+24.3
10/26 Game 1	South 1, 1 honba · Hisato Sasaki ron 32,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto	Hisato Sasaki	+68.4
10/26 Game 2	East 4 · Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000	Hisato Sasaki	+34.0
10/29 Game 1	South 3, 2 honba · Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000	Jun Murakami	+61.7
10/29 Game 2	South 2 · Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000	Hisato Sasaki	+42.3
10/30 Game 1	South 2, 1 honba · Sayaka Kayamori ron 16,000 from Yudai Maehara	Sayaka Kayamori	+44.4
10/30 Game 2	South 3 · Takaharu Ooi tsumo 18,000	Takaharu Ooi	+34.1
11/1 Game 1	South 1 · Aki Nikaido tsumo 18,000	Aki Nikaido	+50.1
11/1 Game 2	South 3 · Naoki Setokuma tsumo 7,800	Naoki Setokuma	+31.4
11/2 Game 1	East 2 · Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000	Aki Nikaido	+33.4
11/2 Game 2	South 2 · Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000	Ken Sonoda	+29.7
11/5 Game 1	South 4 · Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000	Aki Nikaido	+71.9
11/5 Game 2	East 3 · Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000	Kazunori Takizawa	+22.0
11/6 Game 1	East 3 · Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000	Sho Shiratori	+32.1
11/6 Game 2	South 2, 1 honba · Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000	Go Kobayashi	+46.8
11/8 Game 1	South 4 · Sayaka Kayamori ron 24,000 from Jun Murakami	Sayaka Kayamori	+93.3
11/8 Game 2	South 4 · Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori	Mari Takamiya	+33.4
11/9 Game 1	South 1 · Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000	Yudai Maehara	+32.3
11/9 Game 2	East 1 · Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara	Yoshihiro Matsumoto	+33.0
11/12 Game 1	South 4, 2 honba · Saki Kurosawa ron 3,900 from Koshin Asakura	Hisato Sasaki	+21.4
11/12 Game 2	South 1, 1 honba · Nobuhiro Ishibashi tsumo 2,700	Nobuhiro Ishibashi	+22.7
11/13 Game 1	South 3, 1 honba · Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 18,000	Sayaka Kayamori	+65.2
11/13 Game 2	East 1, 2 honba · Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000	Ken Sonoda	+35.4
11/15 Game 1	East 2 · Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000	Taro Suzuki	+43.3
11/15 Game 2	South 4 · Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000	Taro Suzuki	+50.6
11/16 Game 1	East 4 · Sayaka Kayamori ron 12,000 from Koshin Asakura	Sayaka Kayamori	+32.4
11/16 Game 2	South 1, 3 honba · Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000	Kenji Katsumata	+39.9
11/19 Game 1	East 3 · Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000	Taro Suzuki	+34.9
11/19 Game 2	South 4 · Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000	Hisato Sasaki	+43.4
11/20 Game 1	East 3, 2 honba · Saki Kurosawa tsumo 18,000	Saki Kurosawa	+51.3
11/20 Game 2	South 3 · Kenji Katsumata tsumo 24,000	Kenji Katsumata	+47.4
11/22 Game 1	South 3 · Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa	Sayaka Kayamori	+34.3
11/22 Game 2	South 3, 1 honba · Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000	Taro Suzuki	+35.8
11/23 Game 1	East 4 · Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000	Yuumi Uotani	+36.8
11/23 Game 2	South 2, 2 honba · Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 12,000 from Masato Hagiwara	Nobuhiro Ishibashi	+41.9
11/26 Game 1	South 4 · Sho Shiratori tsumo 5,200	Sho Shiratori	+46.3
11/26 Game 2	East 1 · Naoki Setokuma tsumo 18,000	Naoki Setokuma	+40.5
11/27 Game 1	East 3 · Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki	Saki Kurosawa	+25.9
11/27 Game 2	South 1, 1 honba · Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000	Taro Suzuki	+39.6
11/29 Game 1	East 2 · Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 18,000	Yoshihiro Matsumoto	+40.2
11/29 Game 2	South 4, 4 honba · Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000	Kazunori Takizawa	+43.5
11/30 Game 1	South 2, 2 honba · Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Jun Murakami	Saki Kurosawa	+41.3
11/30 Game 2	South 3 · Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido	Ken Sonoda	+35.4
12/3 Game 1	South 2, 1 honba · Koshin Asakura ron 7,700 from Taro Suzuki	Koshin Asakura	+32.8
12/3 Game 2	South 2 · Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Saki Kurosawa	Ken Sonoda	+39.5
12/4 Game 1	South 3 · Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000	Seiichi Kondo	+35.4
12/4 Game 2	East 4 · Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000	Kenji Katsumata	+33.7
12/6 Game 1	East 2 · Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori	Kazunori Takizawa	+35.6
12/6 Game 2	East 3 · Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda	Hisato Sasaki	+33.3
12/7 Game 1	South 3, 2 honba · Saki Kurosawa tsumo 18,000	Saki Kurosawa	+45.3
12/7 Game 2	South 3, 4 honba · Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Jun Murakami	Masato Hagiwara	+28.1
12/10 Game 1	East 4 · Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000	Hisato Sasaki	+36.2
12/10 Game 2	South 4 · Hisato Sasaki ron 1,000 from Naoki Setokuma	Hisato Sasaki	+32.1
12/11 Game 1	South 4 · Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000	Yoshihiro Matsumoto	+31.4
12/11 Game 2	South 4, 1 honba · Nobuhiro Ishibashi ron 7,700 from Yuumi Uotani	Nobuhiro Ishibashi	+36.4
12/13 Game 1	East 2, 1 honba · Yuumi Uotani tsumo 12,000	Yuumi Uotani	+35.1
12/13 Game 2	East 1 · Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000	Ken Sonoda	+29.4
12/14 Game 1	South 4, 1 honba · Sho Shiratori tsumo 5,200	Sho Shiratori	+48.1
12/14 Game 2	South 2 · Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori	Masato Hagiwara	+35.2
12/17 Game 1	South 4 · Koshin Asakura ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi	Koshin Asakura	+41.6
12/17 Game 2	East 3 · Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000	Yudai Maehara	+28.4
12/18 Game 1	East 1 · Taro Suzuki tsumo 16,000	Taro Suzuki	+42.2
12/18 Game 2	East 4 · Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Naoki Setokuma	Sho Shiratori	+30.2
12/20 Game 1	South 4 · Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,000	Masato Hagiwara	+49.3
12/20 Game 2	South 1 · Yudai Maehara ron 18,000 from Naoki Setokuma	Yudai Maehara	+48.6
12/21 Game 1	South 1 · Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi	Taro Suzuki	+29.3
12/21 Game 2	East 3, 1 honba · Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa	Ken Sonoda	+26.2

Final Series24 games

Game	The deciding hand	Player moved most	Expected pt change
3/2 Game 1	East 3, 3 honba · Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000	Taro Suzuki	+37.2
3/2 Game 2	East 3 · Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000	Jun Murakami	+34.9
3/2 Game 3	South 2 · Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa	Taro Suzuki	+35.2
3/3 Game 1	East 3 · Aki Nikaido tsumo 16,000	Aki Nikaido	+44.5
3/3 Game 2	South 4 · Sho Shiratori tsumo 1,100	Sho Shiratori	+31.8
3/3 Game 3	East 1 · Kenji Katsumata tsumo 7,800	Kenji Katsumata	+20.2
3/9 Game 1	South 4 · Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000	Kazunori Takizawa	+47.5
3/9 Game 2	South 2, 1 honba · Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa	Yoshihiro Matsumoto	+38.2
3/9 Game 3	East 2 · Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000	Taro Suzuki	+47.3
3/10 Game 1	South 1, 2 honba · Aki Nikaido tsumo 16,000	Aki Nikaido	+30.9
3/10 Game 2	South 3, 1 honba · Taro Suzuki ron 3,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto	Taro Suzuki	+24.6
3/10 Game 3	South 4 · Ken Sonoda tsumo 4,000	Ken Sonoda	+36.6
3/23 Game 1	South 3 · Jun Murakami ron 18,000 from Takaharu Ooi	Jun Murakami	+30.0
3/23 Game 2	South 1, 1 honba · Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000	Ken Sonoda	+31.3
3/23 Game 3	East 4 · Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000	Kenji Katsumata	+24.5
3/24 Game 1	East 1 · Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata	Sho Shiratori	+22.7
3/24 Game 2	East 2, 1 honba · Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara	Takaharu Ooi	+36.0
3/24 Game 3	South 3, 1 honba · Hisato Sasaki ron 18,000 from Takaharu Ooi	Hisato Sasaki	+65.0
3/30 Game 1	East 4 · Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000	Taro Suzuki	+52.2
3/30 Game 2	South 2, 1 honba · Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000	Jun Murakami	+48.4
3/30 Game 3	South 1, 2 honba · Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000	Kazunori Takizawa	+42.4
3/31 Game 1	East 1 · Mari Takamiya tsumo 16,000	Mari Takamiya	+40.3
3/31 Game 2	East 4, 4 honba · Sho Shiratori tsumo 18,000	Sho Shiratori	+28.1
3/31 Game 3	South 4, 1 honba · Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000	Takaharu Ooi	+42.1

Expected pt change: how much the player's expected final points (estimated by simulation) moved over that hand (Methodology 6 (Japanese)).The game results themselves are on the official M.League site.