Game · 2018-19 Finals
3/2 Game 2
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+62.4pt). The game was decided in East 3: Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +37.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 26% | 23% | 26% | -10.9 | -3.0 | +15.6 | -1.7 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 17% | 22% | 35% | 26% | -3.0 | -12.8 | +2.0 | +13.8 |
| East 3 | Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 14% | 35% | 35% | +37.3 | -8.1 | -20.1 | -9.2 |
| East 4 | Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000 | 44% | 11% | 19% | 26% | +31.4 | -6.6 | -6.1 | -18.8 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Sasaki Hisato | 78% | 4% | 9% | 8% | +0.6 | -12.7 | +11.9 | +0.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 81% | 2% | 11% | 6% | +2.8 | +2.7 | -2.8 | -2.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 83% | 2% | 9% | 6% | +2.1 | -10.3 | +8.3 | -0.2 |
| South 3 | Draw | 87% | 0% | 8% | 5% | -3.7 | -1.3 | +2.0 | +3.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 83% | 0% | 11% | 6% | +1.7 | -0.7 | -35.7 | +34.8 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,600 from Murakami Jun | 85% | 0% | 0% | 15% | +3.4 | -1.6 | +5.1 | -6.9 |