Game · 2018-19 Final Series
3/2 Game 2
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+62.4pt). The game was decided in East 3: Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +34.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 4,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 27% | -8.7 | -2.7 | +14.9 | -3.5 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 19% | 22% | 34% | 24% | -2.4 | -13.9 | +0.5 | +15.7 |
| East 3 | Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 13% | 35% | 36% | +34.9 | -4.8 | -20.2 | -9.9 |
| East 4 | Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000 | 42% | 11% | 20% | 27% | +32.5 | -7.5 | -6.4 | -18.6 |
| South 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Hisato Sasaki | 79% | 5% | 9% | 8% | +0.2 | -14.4 | +13.1 | +1.2 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 80% | 2% | 11% | 7% | +3.4 | +3.9 | -2.9 | -4.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 84% | 2% | 9% | 5% | +1.9 | -10.6 | +8.3 | +0.4 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 88% | 0% | 8% | 4% | -3.2 | -2.1 | +2.4 | +2.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 83% | 0% | 12% | 5% | +1.4 | -0.4 | -35.7 | +34.7 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,600 from Jun Murakami | 85% | 0% | 0% | 15% | +3.2 | -1.1 | +4.7 | -6.8 |