Game · 2018-19 Final Series
3/2 Game 3
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+55.4pt). The game was decided in South 2: Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +35.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 26% | 24% | 25% | 24% | +6.8 | +0.4 | +0.4 | -7.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 31% | 24% | 25% | 20% | -9.3 | +11.8 | -2.6 | +0.1 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 24% | 33% | 24% | 20% | -0.9 | +30.9 | -28.4 | -1.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 17% | 59% | 8% | 15% | +9.2 | -9.6 | -0.5 | +0.9 |
| East 3 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 5,200 | 25% | 50% | 9% | 17% | -1.6 | -1.7 | -10.5 | +13.8 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 16,000 | 23% | 48% | 4% | 24% | -9.4 | -6.5 | +40.4 | -24.5 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 6,000 | 20% | 45% | 22% | 13% | +20.2 | -7.0 | -6.8 | -6.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 36% | 38% | 17% | 10% | +7.7 | -4.8 | -0.9 | -2.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 43% | 31% | 17% | 9% | -19.4 | -7.9 | -11.8 | +39.0 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 27% | 28% | 12% | 33% | +35.2 | -34.8 | -0.1 | -0.3 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 66% | 3% | 9% | 22% | +11.0 | +0.5 | -12.9 | +1.4 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 84% | 0% | 1% | 15% | +5.0 | -13.1 | +13.8 | -5.6 |