Game · 2018-19 Finals
3/2 Game 3
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+55.4pt). The game was decided in South 2: Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +35.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 24% | 26% | 26% | 24% | +14.5 | -3.9 | -1.5 | -9.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Suzuki Taro | 35% | 22% | 25% | 19% | -15.4 | +12.6 | +1.7 | +1.2 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 22% | 31% | 27% | 20% | +0.7 | +32.7 | -30.7 | -2.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 18% | 60% | 9% | 14% | +9.4 | -9.0 | -2.1 | +1.7 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 5,200 | 25% | 51% | 8% | 16% | -1.2 | -2.9 | -8.6 | +12.7 |
| East 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 16,000 | 24% | 48% | 5% | 23% | -11.4 | -6.0 | +41.2 | -23.8 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 6,000 | 19% | 44% | 24% | 12% | +19.4 | -7.2 | -7.1 | -5.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 34% | 37% | 19% | 10% | +11.5 | -4.2 | -3.4 | -4.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 45% | 31% | 17% | 7% | -21.3 | -8.0 | -11.1 | +40.4 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 26% | 27% | 13% | 34% | +35.7 | -34.8 | -0.4 | -0.5 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 66% | 3% | 8% | 22% | +11.1 | -0.1 | -12.1 | +1.2 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 85% | 1% | 0% | 15% | +4.4 | -12.5 | +13.1 | -5.0 |