Game · 2018-19 Finals
3/3 Game 1
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+73.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Nikaido Aki tsumo 16,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +43.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 24% | 25% | 27% | 24% | -1.5 | -23.8 | +0.9 | +24.3 |
| East 2 | Draw | 21% | 12% | 25% | 42% | +2.6 | +3.2 | -0.3 | -5.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 23% | 14% | 25% | 38% | -1.2 | -21.3 | +24.5 | -1.9 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 16,000 | 19% | 5% | 43% | 33% | -9.9 | -7.5 | -25.7 | +43.1 |
| East 4 | Maehara Yudai ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 7% | 2% | 13% | 78% | +19.6 | -15.2 | -2.9 | -1.5 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Aki ron 5,200 from Maehara Yudai | 15% | 1% | 10% | 75% | -15.4 | +1.5 | +1.6 | +12.3 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 1,000 from Maehara Yudai | 2% | 0% | 6% | 91% | -0.1 | -3.0 | 0.0 | +3.1 |
| South 3 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 0% | 4% | 95% | +12.8 | -0.8 | -13.0 | +1.0 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun | 1% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +2.0 | +13.3 | -14.4 | -0.9 |