Game · 2018-19 Final Series
3/3 Game 1
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+73.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Aki Nikaido tsumo 16,000, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +44.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -1.6 | -23.4 | +0.3 | +24.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 12% | 23% | 43% | +0.5 | +4.3 | +2.1 | -6.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 23% | 14% | 26% | 38% | +2.9 | -23.3 | +22.5 | -2.0 |
| East 3 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 16,000 | 21% | 4% | 41% | 33% | -11.4 | -7.9 | -25.1 | +44.5 |
| East 4 | Yudai Maehara ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 9% | 1% | 11% | 79% | +18.7 | -13.0 | -2.3 | -3.4 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 5,200 from Yudai Maehara | 16% | 1% | 10% | 74% | -14.3 | -0.3 | +1.9 | +12.6 |
| South 2 | Aki Nikaido ron 1,000 from Yudai Maehara | 3% | 0% | 7% | 90% | -0.7 | -2.7 | -1.3 | +4.7 |
| South 3 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 0% | 3% | 97% | +12.6 | -0.9 | -12.0 | +0.2 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Jun Murakami | 1% | 0% | 0% | 99% | +1.8 | +13.4 | -14.2 | -1.0 |