Game · 2018-19 Finals
3/3 Game 2
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+55.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Shiratori Sho tsumo 1,100, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +32.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -5.4 | +6.2 | -0.9 | +0.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 21% | 29% | 25% | 25% | +7.8 | -3.8 | -2.3 | -1.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 27% | 27% | 23% | 24% | -0.8 | -0.7 | -23.8 | +25.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 23% | 24% | 9% | 43% | -0.4 | +7.9 | -4.7 | -2.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 23% | 30% | 7% | 40% | -8.2 | +7.8 | -4.2 | +4.5 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 3,000 | 16% | 36% | 5% | 43% | -6.2 | +16.5 | -3.5 | -6.8 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Draw | 9% | 54% | 4% | 34% | -1.2 | 0.0 | +3.1 | -1.9 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 57% | 5% | 29% | -6.2 | -11.8 | -10.0 | +28.0 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 1,100 | 2% | 29% | 0% | 70% | 0.0 | +32.5 | -3.6 | -29.0 |