Game · 2018-19 Final Series
3/3 Game 2
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+55.8pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sho Shiratori tsumo 1,100, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +31.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -4.7 | +9.1 | -1.9 | -2.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 30% | 23% | 24% | +8.2 | -4.5 | -1.5 | -2.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 28% | 26% | 22% | 24% | -3.5 | +0.2 | -25.2 | +28.6 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 25% | 8% | 44% | -1.1 | +8.1 | -2.1 | -4.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 31% | 8% | 40% | -5.2 | +3.7 | -4.4 | +5.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 3,000 | 17% | 33% | 6% | 45% | -6.7 | +18.5 | -4.6 | -7.2 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 54% | 4% | 32% | -1.9 | -0.6 | +3.3 | -0.7 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 55% | 5% | 31% | -6.3 | -10.0 | -10.6 | +26.9 |
| South 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 1,100 | 1% | 30% | 0% | 69% | 0.0 | +31.8 | -2.7 | -29.1 |