Game · 2018-19 Finals
3/3 Game 3
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+62.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 7,800, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +23.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 7,800 | 25% | 26% | 24% | 24% | +23.1 | -7.5 | -8.0 | -7.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 42% | 20% | 19% | 19% | -6.1 | +4.3 | +5.0 | -3.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,600 from Shiratori Sho | 37% | 22% | 22% | 18% | +14.6 | -15.0 | +1.1 | -0.7 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 5,200 from Sonoda Ken | 50% | 12% | 22% | 16% | +1.2 | +1.8 | -20.5 | +17.5 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 53% | 13% | 9% | 25% | +1.3 | -1.6 | +38.5 | -38.2 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho | 52% | 11% | 31% | 6% | +12.1 | -8.4 | -2.6 | -1.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 2,600 from Shiratori Sho | 66% | 6% | 24% | 4% | -0.9 | -7.4 | +9.6 | -1.3 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 65% | 3% | 28% | 4% | +3.2 | -21.1 | -3.6 | +21.5 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 2,000 | 71% | 0% | 22% | 7% | +10.4 | -1.1 | -7.1 | -2.2 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 3,900 | 90% | 0% | 6% | 4% | -3.0 | -2.1 | -2.8 | +7.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 87% | 0% | 5% | 8% | +6.2 | -1.8 | +3.9 | -8.4 |