Game · 2018-19 Final Series
3/3 Game 3
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+62.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kenji Katsumata tsumo 7,800, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +20.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 7,800 | 28% | 23% | 23% | 26% | +20.2 | -6.5 | -5.3 | -8.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 42% | 19% | 19% | 20% | -4.2 | +4.0 | +5.2 | -4.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 38% | 21% | 24% | 17% | +12.7 | -12.8 | -1.5 | +1.6 |
| East 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 5,200 from Ken Sonoda | 50% | 13% | 20% | 17% | +1.7 | -0.2 | -19.6 | +18.0 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 52% | 11% | 10% | 27% | +0.7 | +2.6 | +37.5 | -40.8 |
| South 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 52% | 13% | 30% | 6% | +13.9 | -11.3 | -2.2 | -0.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 67% | 6% | 23% | 4% | -2.0 | -6.7 | +11.2 | -2.4 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 63% | 4% | 30% | 3% | +3.5 | -21.4 | -4.1 | +22.0 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 2,000 | 72% | 0% | 22% | 7% | +9.8 | -1.6 | -7.3 | -0.8 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 3,900 | 89% | 0% | 7% | 5% | -1.6 | -1.3 | -3.8 | +6.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori | 87% | 0% | 5% | 8% | +5.3 | -2.2 | +4.9 | -8.1 |