Game · 2018-19 Finals
3/9 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+66.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +46.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +32.2 | -26.7 | -2.7 | -2.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Maehara Yudai | 49% | 9% | 21% | 21% | -3.7 | -20.3 | +24.2 | -0.2 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 5,200 | 43% | 3% | 37% | 18% | -3.1 | -5.1 | +12.0 | -3.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 38% | 2% | 46% | 14% | -2.0 | +2.3 | -4.0 | +3.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho | 37% | 2% | 44% | 17% | -10.0 | +5.3 | +6.4 | -1.7 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 2,700 | 28% | 3% | 55% | 15% | -8.6 | -4.8 | +0.3 | +13.1 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho | 19% | 2% | 56% | 24% | -12.4 | -3.2 | +2.1 | +13.5 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai | 9% | 0% | 60% | 32% | -6.6 | -13.9 | -20.0 | +40.5 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 10% | 90% | -4.5 | -1.4 | +46.8 | -40.9 |