Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2018-19 Final Series

3/9 Game 1

Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+66.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +47.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Kazunori Takizawa● Sho Shiratori● Yudai Maehara● Taro Suzuki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Kazunori● Sho● Yudai● Taro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSho Shiratori
1st-place chance
Yudai Maehara
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Taro Suzuki
1st-place chance
Sho Shiratori
Expected pt change
Yudai Maehara
Expected pt change
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
Taro Suzuki
Expected pt change
East 1Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara25%25%24%26%+31.7-28.5+0.7-3.9
East 1, 1 honbaKazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara48%11%21%20%-1.5-20.3+21.5+0.3
East 2Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 5,20045%3%35%17%-5.0-6.2+14.1-2.9
East 3Exhaustive draw37%2%47%15%-1.6+1.1-3.2+3.7
East 4, 1 honbaYudai Maehara ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori37%2%45%17%-8.7+6.0+4.5-1.8
South 1Taro Suzuki tsumo 2,70029%3%53%16%-10.4-3.3+0.1+13.6
South 2Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori19%2%54%25%-11.8-4.2+3.3+12.7
South 3Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara10%0%58%32%-7.2-13.8-20.4+41.4
South 4Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,0001%0%8%92%-4.2-1.5+47.5-41.8

All 2018-19 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)