Game · 2018-19 Final Series
3/9 Game 2
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+64.9pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +38.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Jun Murakami ron 2,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +10.6 | -10.0 | +1.0 | -1.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Jun Murakami | 33% | 19% | 25% | 24% | -7.3 | -0.5 | -1.2 | +9.1 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 17% | 23% | 31% | -11.2 | +30.9 | -10.8 | -8.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,600 from Kazunori Takizawa | 19% | 39% | 18% | 24% | +1.3 | -8.0 | +6.1 | +0.6 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 34% | 22% | 25% | -12.6 | -12.2 | +33.1 | -8.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 21% | 47% | 19% | +3.0 | -2.4 | -1.4 | +0.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 20% | 46% | 19% | -4.1 | +6.1 | -6.9 | +4.9 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 6,400 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 13% | 25% | 39% | 24% | -2.7 | +29.0 | -21.4 | -4.9 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 54% | 19% | 16% | -6.4 | -0.4 | +9.5 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 6% | 53% | 25% | 15% | -3.1 | -34.6 | +38.2 | -0.5 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 11% | 74% | 12% | -3.0 | +4.7 | +3.4 | -5.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 9,600 from Jun Murakami | 2% | 12% | 78% | 9% | -17.2 | -2.1 | +17.8 | +1.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 2% | 94% | 4% | +5.5 | +0.6 | -2.8 | -3.3 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 1% | 96% | 3% | -8.1 | -17.7 | -8.4 | +34.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 0% | 86% | 14% | -2.1 | -1.8 | +9.5 | -5.7 |