Game · 2018-19 Finals
3/9 Game 2
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+64.9pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +39.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Murakami Jun ron 2,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 25% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +10.9 | -10.7 | +1.2 | -1.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Murakami Jun | 33% | 19% | 24% | 25% | -9.0 | +0.6 | -3.1 | +11.5 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 19% | 23% | 33% | -12.5 | +31.2 | -9.0 | -9.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,600 from Takizawa Kazunori | 18% | 40% | 18% | 25% | +3.0 | -5.0 | +5.3 | -3.3 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 37% | 21% | 23% | -10.0 | -14.0 | +32.6 | -8.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 14% | 23% | 45% | 18% | +1.3 | -2.4 | -2.5 | +3.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 15% | 22% | 42% | 21% | -1.9 | +3.5 | -4.1 | +2.5 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 6,400 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 15% | 25% | 39% | 22% | -2.8 | +30.0 | -23.6 | -3.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 12% | 54% | 19% | 16% | -8.4 | +1.2 | +9.5 | -2.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 6% | 55% | 24% | 16% | -2.9 | -36.7 | +39.7 | -0.1 |
| South 3 | Draw | 3% | 11% | 73% | 13% | -2.0 | +3.8 | +2.7 | -4.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 9,600 from Murakami Jun | 3% | 11% | 76% | 10% | -18.0 | +0.1 | +17.7 | +0.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 3% | 94% | 4% | +4.6 | -0.4 | -2.2 | -2.0 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 1% | 96% | 4% | -7.5 | -18.0 | -8.9 | +34.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 0% | 84% | 16% | -2.1 | -1.1 | +10.1 | -6.9 |