Game · 2018-19 Final Series
3/9 Game 3
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+64.1pt). The game was decided in East 2: Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +47.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | +3.1 | +4.3 | -3.3 | -4.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 28% | 22% | 22% | +5.8 | -4.6 | 0.0 | -1.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 31% | 23% | 23% | 23% | -2.9 | -1.8 | -8.4 | +13.1 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 26% | 24% | 17% | 33% | -14.6 | +47.3 | -11.2 | -21.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 63% | 10% | 13% | -7.9 | +24.1 | -9.1 | -7.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 86% | 3% | 6% | -7.1 | -9.2 | -4.4 | +20.6 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 77% | 4% | 14% | +10.6 | +1.0 | -7.7 | -3.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 80% | 2% | 11% | +1.0 | +4.8 | -1.4 | -4.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 5% | 87% | 2% | 6% | -5.7 | +1.3 | -6.5 | +10.8 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 90% | 1% | 8% | -8.0 | -7.6 | +21.3 | -5.7 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 1% | 89% | 3% | 7% | -0.6 | +2.9 | -5.3 | +3.1 |
| South 4 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 94% | 0% | 6% | +33.1 | +1.3 | -11.2 | -23.2 |