Game · 2018-19 Finals
3/9 Game 3
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+64.1pt). The game was decided in East 2: Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +46.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | +0.9 | +4.0 | -2.8 | -2.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 25% | 27% | 25% | 23% | +8.9 | -2.5 | -3.8 | -2.6 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 31% | 25% | 22% | 22% | -2.5 | -2.4 | -7.5 | +12.4 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000 | 28% | 23% | 19% | 30% | -13.9 | +46.7 | -13.1 | -19.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 62% | 10% | 14% | -9.9 | +24.3 | -7.3 | -7.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 85% | 4% | 6% | -5.5 | -7.8 | -6.8 | +20.2 |
| East 3 | Draw | 4% | 79% | 3% | 13% | +7.9 | +0.2 | -3.6 | -4.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 7% | 81% | 2% | 11% | +1.0 | +5.9 | -2.6 | -4.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 5% | 88% | 2% | 5% | -4.1 | -0.4 | -6.8 | +11.2 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 90% | 1% | 8% | -8.1 | -8.6 | +20.1 | -3.4 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 1% | 87% | 3% | 9% | -0.1 | +4.8 | -5.2 | +0.5 |
| South 4 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 94% | 0% | 5% | +32.3 | +0.8 | -10.4 | -22.6 |