Game · 2018-19 Finals
3/10 Game 2
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+52.3pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Suzuki Taro ron 3,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +25.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 27% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -3.3 | -2.2 | +6.1 | -0.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 22% | 22% | 31% | 25% | +5.7 | -4.9 | -3.9 | +3.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,600 from Sasaki Hisato | 27% | 19% | 27% | 26% | -1.2 | +17.7 | -13.6 | -2.9 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 26% | 32% | 18% | 24% | -0.1 | -26.3 | +26.2 | +0.2 |
| South 1 | Draw | 25% | 14% | 37% | 23% | +2.2 | +2.5 | -8.3 | +3.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 2,000 | 28% | 15% | 30% | 27% | -3.5 | -4.0 | -1.0 | +8.5 |
| South 2 | Draw | 23% | 14% | 29% | 34% | +1.4 | -5.6 | +0.6 | +3.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 3,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 24% | 10% | 29% | 37% | -4.5 | -16.4 | -5.0 | +25.9 |
| South 4 | Draw | 13% | 2% | 13% | 72% | -12.8 | -5.0 | +6.7 | +11.1 |