Game · 2018-19 Final Series
3/10 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+52.3pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Taro Suzuki ron 3,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +24.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -6.0 | -1.2 | +7.2 | -0.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 25% | 28% | 25% | +8.8 | -7.6 | -4.2 | +2.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,600 from Hisato Sasaki | 28% | 18% | 27% | 27% | -3.0 | +20.2 | -15.2 | -2.0 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 25% | 34% | 16% | 25% | -0.2 | -28.1 | +29.7 | -1.4 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 15% | 38% | 23% | +5.6 | +2.1 | -10.5 | +2.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 30% | 15% | 30% | 25% | -7.5 | -3.0 | +0.3 | +10.3 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 14% | 30% | 34% | +3.2 | -5.2 | -1.5 | +3.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 3,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 27% | 10% | 26% | 37% | -5.2 | -16.6 | -2.8 | +24.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 2% | 13% | 71% | -12.7 | -5.4 | +6.1 | +12.0 |