Game · 2018-19 Final Series
3/23 Game 1
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+99.9pt). The game was decided in South 3: Jun Murakami ron 18,000 from Takaharu Ooi, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +30.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | +5.5 | -5.0 | +3.6 | -4.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Jun Murakami | 28% | 21% | 28% | 23% | -0.9 | -1.8 | -19.4 | +22.0 |
| East 2 | Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 19% | 15% | 40% | -8.6 | -14.4 | +30.0 | -7.0 |
| East 3 | Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 12% | 35% | 33% | -8.4 | -8.8 | +30.0 | -12.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 12% | 7% | 63% | 19% | +18.4 | -1.0 | +2.2 | -19.6 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Jun Murakami | 19% | 6% | 66% | 9% | +14.6 | -1.8 | -8.4 | -4.4 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 2,000 | 32% | 5% | 56% | 7% | -4.9 | +5.1 | +1.0 | -1.2 |
| South 2 | Jun Murakami tsumo 1,500 | 26% | 7% | 59% | 7% | -0.5 | -6.4 | +8.6 | -1.6 |
| South 3 | Jun Murakami ron 18,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 20% | 1% | 73% | 6% | -46.2 | +6.5 | +30.0 | +9.7 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Jun Murakami ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -23.8 | +6.9 | +12.7 | +4.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 1% | -4.2 | -3.2 | +14.0 | -6.6 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -4.7 | -8.4 | -5.4 | +18.6 |
| South 4 | Aki Nikaido ron 5,200 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -1.4 | +5.8 | +0.6 | -4.9 |