Game · 2018-19 Finals
3/23 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+75.4pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +32.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | +31.2 | -11.4 | -9.7 | -10.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 51% | 17% | 16% | 17% | -10.8 | -6.3 | +23.6 | -6.5 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 4,000 | 41% | 13% | 31% | 15% | +10.0 | -6.6 | -0.5 | -2.8 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 6,000 | 50% | 9% | 29% | 12% | -5.2 | -3.4 | +12.1 | -3.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 42% | 8% | 39% | 10% | -6.8 | -9.2 | -15.2 | +31.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 37% | 7% | 28% | 28% | -3.3 | +1.3 | -1.6 | +3.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 16,000 | 35% | 7% | 27% | 31% | -12.8 | -9.4 | +47.2 | -25.1 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 5,800 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 15% | 2% | 76% | 7% | +11.3 | -8.4 | -2.1 | -0.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 21% | 1% | 71% | 7% | +32.1 | -4.9 | -18.5 | -8.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 58% | 1% | 37% | 4% | -13.7 | +3.1 | +30.5 | -20.0 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Sasaki Hisato | 25% | 0% | 74% | 0% | +11.3 | +2.3 | -5.1 | -8.5 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 38% | 0% | 62% | 0% | +14.0 | +5.3 | -9.4 | -9.9 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 60% | 0% | 40% | 0% | +16.2 | +13.6 | -23.5 | -6.4 |