Game · 2018-19 Final Series
3/23 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+75.4pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +31.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +29.2 | -10.0 | -7.3 | -11.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 49% | 17% | 18% | 17% | -8.1 | -7.0 | +21.8 | -6.7 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 4,000 | 40% | 13% | 32% | 14% | +10.4 | -6.3 | -2.2 | -2.0 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 6,000 | 51% | 9% | 28% | 12% | -4.2 | -5.6 | +15.7 | -5.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 44% | 6% | 41% | 9% | -5.4 | -8.3 | -17.0 | +30.6 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 42% | 5% | 26% | 26% | -3.6 | +1.9 | -3.6 | +5.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 16,000 | 37% | 6% | 26% | 31% | -15.8 | -7.5 | +48.3 | -25.0 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 5,800 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 14% | 3% | 76% | 7% | +13.4 | -10.3 | -3.1 | 0.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 1% | 68% | 7% | +31.3 | -4.3 | -18.6 | -8.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 60% | 1% | 36% | 3% | -14.6 | +3.0 | +31.2 | -19.6 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 5,200 from Hisato Sasaki | 26% | 0% | 73% | 1% | +10.6 | +1.8 | -3.7 | -8.7 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 37% | 0% | 63% | 0% | +14.9 | +6.0 | -10.3 | -10.6 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 60% | 0% | 40% | 0% | +15.9 | +13.7 | -23.2 | -6.4 |