Game · 2018-19 Final Series
3/23 Game 3
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+60.3pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +24.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Yudai Maehara | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -16.1 | +14.7 | +0.3 | +1.2 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 36% | 24% | 25% | +1.7 | +3.8 | +2.6 | -8.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 38% | 26% | 20% | -0.6 | +5.2 | -2.5 | -2.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 42% | 23% | 18% | -7.9 | -14.6 | -7.6 | +30.1 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 5,800 from Yudai Maehara | 11% | 29% | 18% | 41% | -12.4 | -0.8 | +14.3 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki | 8% | 28% | 26% | 39% | -0.5 | +9.9 | -10.8 | +1.4 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 35% | 18% | 40% | -5.2 | +24.5 | -4.0 | -15.3 |
| South 1 | Yudai Maehara ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 4% | 63% | 13% | 20% | +29.7 | -33.5 | +0.6 | +3.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 5,200 | 18% | 31% | 20% | 32% | -12.3 | +21.3 | -4.6 | -4.3 |
| South 2 | Yudai Maehara ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki | 9% | 51% | 14% | 25% | +8.2 | +2.6 | -12.2 | +1.3 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Yudai Maehara | 10% | 57% | 9% | 24% | -17.0 | +16.9 | -2.8 | +2.8 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 1% | 83% | 1% | 15% | -11.5 | +10.8 | +6.5 | -5.8 |