Game · 2018-19 Finals
3/23 Game 3
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+60.3pt). The game was decided in East 4: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +23.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Maehara Yudai | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -11.8 | +12.8 | -0.5 | -0.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 18% | 33% | 25% | 25% | -0.1 | +5.7 | +0.3 | -5.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 17% | 37% | 24% | 22% | -2.4 | +6.7 | -2.9 | -1.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 44% | 21% | 20% | -5.9 | -16.2 | -5.0 | +27.1 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 5,800 from Maehara Yudai | 12% | 29% | 19% | 40% | -14.7 | 0.0 | +16.3 | -1.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro | 7% | 27% | 30% | 36% | -0.6 | +10.9 | -12.6 | +2.4 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 36% | 20% | 38% | -3.7 | +23.3 | -4.3 | -15.3 |
| South 1 | Maehara Yudai ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 5% | 62% | 13% | 20% | +28.4 | -32.2 | -0.9 | +4.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 5,200 | 17% | 32% | 19% | 32% | -10.4 | +20.2 | -5.1 | -4.7 |
| South 2 | Maehara Yudai ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro | 9% | 52% | 14% | 25% | +6.6 | +1.7 | -10.5 | +2.2 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Maehara Yudai | 10% | 54% | 10% | 26% | -15.6 | +18.1 | -4.0 | +1.6 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 1% | 83% | 1% | 15% | -11.9 | +10.8 | +7.5 | -6.3 |