Game · 2018-19 Finals
3/24 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+68.9pt). The game was decided in East 1: Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +22.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -22.1 | +2.5 | -2.7 | +22.3 |
| East 2 | Draw | 11% | 25% | 22% | 42% | -0.8 | +4.5 | -1.2 | -2.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 27% | 21% | 40% | +23.2 | -13.6 | -5.1 | -4.5 |
| East 3 | Draw | 24% | 19% | 19% | 37% | -3.2 | -1.7 | +8.5 | -3.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 5,200 | 23% | 18% | 25% | 34% | +19.3 | -4.9 | -8.6 | -5.9 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 5,800 from Takamiya Mari | 37% | 16% | 19% | 29% | -1.7 | -17.3 | -1.1 | +20.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 5,800 from Takamiya Mari | 33% | 7% | 15% | 45% | -2.3 | -13.5 | -2.3 | +18.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 2,600 from Takamiya Mari | 25% | 3% | 10% | 63% | -3.1 | -5.1 | +9.4 | -1.2 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 5,200 from Katsumata Kenji | 21% | 2% | 13% | 63% | -16.0 | -1.5 | +1.1 | +16.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 5% | 2% | 9% | 84% | -2.1 | +0.9 | +3.0 | -1.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 5% | 1% | 12% | 82% | -3.0 | -4.7 | +7.4 | +0.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 2,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 3% | 0% | 13% | 84% | -9.3 | -0.6 | +12.0 | -2.1 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 1% | 0% | 19% | 80% | -6.9 | +0.7 | -6.1 | +12.3 |
| South 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 0% | 3% | 97% | +1.6 | +7.8 | -9.2 | -0.1 |