Game · 2018-19 Final Series
3/24 Game 1
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+68.9pt). The game was decided in East 1: Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +22.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 25% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -20.3 | -1.1 | -1.3 | +22.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 23% | 23% | 40% | -4.1 | +7.5 | -0.4 | -3.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 28% | 22% | 39% | +25.8 | -16.4 | -7.3 | -2.1 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 17% | 19% | 38% | -4.5 | 0.0 | +8.8 | -4.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 5,200 | 23% | 18% | 24% | 35% | +16.4 | -5.0 | -9.0 | -2.4 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 5,800 from Mari Takamiya | 35% | 14% | 18% | 33% | -1.6 | -16.7 | +0.3 | +18.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 5,800 from Mari Takamiya | 31% | 7% | 15% | 47% | -3.8 | -13.6 | -0.4 | +17.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 2,600 from Mari Takamiya | 21% | 3% | 12% | 64% | +1.9 | -5.9 | +5.7 | -1.7 |
| South 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from Kenji Katsumata | 22% | 2% | 13% | 63% | -16.0 | -1.7 | +0.6 | +17.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 1% | 8% | 86% | -3.7 | +2.9 | +3.9 | -3.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 2% | 11% | 82% | -2.5 | -5.4 | +7.7 | +0.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 2,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 3% | 0% | 13% | 84% | -8.7 | -0.9 | +11.6 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 1% | 0% | 19% | 80% | -7.5 | +0.9 | -5.8 | +12.3 |
| South 4 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 0% | 2% | 98% | +1.6 | +7.7 | -9.0 | -0.3 |