Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2018-19 Finals

3/24 Game 2

Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+59.2pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +33.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Ooi Takaharu● Murakami Jun● Maehara Yudai● Takizawa Kazunori0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Ooi● Murakami● Maehara● Takizawa
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMurakami Jun
1st-place chance
Maehara Yudai
1st-place chance
Takizawa Kazunori
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Murakami Jun
Expected pt change
Maehara Yudai
Expected pt change
Takizawa Kazunori
Expected pt change
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
East 1Murakami Jun ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai26%23%26%25%+30.7-30.1-0.9+0.3
East 1, 1 honbaMaehara Yudai ron 8,000 from Murakami Jun47%8%21%23%-20.5+18.9-0.6+2.2
East 2Maehara Yudai ron 7,700 from Takizawa Kazunori32%17%24%27%-0.9+19.0-18.10.0
East 2, 1 honbaOoi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai30%28%14%27%+1.3-32.1-3.1+33.8
East 3Maehara Yudai tsumo 5,20027%8%11%54%-3.2+12.3-9.10.0
East 4Draw25%13%6%55%+10.4-2.5-3.6-4.2
South 1, 1 honbaOoi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Maehara Yudai34%11%6%50%-3.8-14.9+1.8+16.8
South 2Maehara Yudai ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori22%4%4%71%-3.7+32.1-23.9-4.6
South 2, 1 honbaMurakami Jun ron 12,000 from Maehara Yudai21%15%1%62%+36.6-28.8+0.1-7.8
South 3Maehara Yudai tsumo 8,00061%0%1%39%+3.3+11.0-7.6-6.7
South 4Draw73%1%0%27%-12.0+1.7+1.2+9.1
South 4, 1 honbaTakizawa Kazunori ron 6,400 from Maehara Yudai51%2%0%47%-20.3-8.7+8.9+20.0

All 2018-19 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)