Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2018-19 Final Series

3/24 Game 2

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+59.2pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +36.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Takaharu Ooi● Jun Murakami● Yudai Maehara● Kazunori Takizawa0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Takaharu● Jun● Yudai● Kazunori
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultJun Murakami
1st-place chance
Yudai Maehara
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Jun Murakami
Expected pt change
Yudai Maehara
Expected pt change
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
East 1Jun Murakami ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara25%24%23%28%+33.5-30.2+0.2-3.4
East 1, 1 honbaYudai Maehara ron 8,000 from Jun Murakami49%9%21%21%-21.4+18.5+1.4+1.5
East 2Yudai Maehara ron 7,700 from Kazunori Takizawa32%18%25%25%+0.7+18.2-19.5+0.5
East 2, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara32%29%14%25%-1.5-32.7-1.8+36.0
East 3Yudai Maehara tsumo 5,20027%6%11%55%-2.3+13.0-10.2-0.5
East 4Exhaustive draw25%13%7%55%+9.3-1.8-2.5-5.0
South 1, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Yudai Maehara33%11%6%50%-4.0-14.5+0.2+18.3
South 2Yudai Maehara ron 12,000 from Kazunori Takizawa19%4%3%74%-4.2+30.9-23.5-3.3
South 2, 1 honbaJun Murakami ron 12,000 from Yudai Maehara18%14%1%66%+37.9-28.4+0.8-10.2
South 3Yudai Maehara tsumo 8,00060%0%1%38%+3.2+11.0-8.4-5.8
South 4Exhaustive draw72%0%0%28%-11.4+1.8+1.3+8.2
South 4, 1 honbaKazunori Takizawa ron 6,400 from Yudai Maehara51%2%0%47%-20.1-8.8+8.9+20.0

All 2018-19 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)