Game · 2018-19 Final Series
3/24 Game 3
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+63.8pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Hisato Sasaki ron 18,000 from Takaharu Ooi, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +65.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Aki Nikaido | 26% | 27% | 24% | 24% | -9.9 | -0.9 | +8.3 | +2.5 |
| East 2 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 25% | 29% | 27% | +25.5 | -16.9 | -3.3 | -5.3 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 37% | 13% | 27% | 22% | -6.5 | -4.3 | -18.3 | +29.1 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 1,500 | 29% | 12% | 14% | 45% | -1.1 | -0.8 | -1.5 | +3.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,800 from Hisato Sasaki | 28% | 11% | 12% | 49% | -1.3 | -0.5 | -14.5 | +16.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 21% | 8% | 6% | 66% | +29.3 | 0.0 | -2.6 | -26.6 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 54% | 8% | 5% | 32% | -23.6 | -6.8 | +23.8 | +6.6 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki | 30% | 8% | 16% | 46% | +4.0 | -8.8 | -2.0 | +6.7 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 2% | 13% | 53% | -6.2 | -1.9 | +2.7 | +5.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 18,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 25% | 1% | 14% | 61% | -4.1 | +2.4 | +65.0 | -63.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 10% | 1% | 85% | 4% | -1.2 | +20.9 | +1.8 | -21.5 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 2,000 | 5% | 1% | 92% | 2% | +2.3 | -1.9 | +6.2 | -6.6 |