Game · 2018-19 Finals
3/30 Game 1
Suzuki Taro finished 1st (+76.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000, which moved Suzuki Taro's expected points by +50.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -13.0 | +12.9 | -1.5 | +1.5 |
| East 2 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 33% | 24% | 26% | -9.8 | -13.4 | +27.9 | -4.7 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 4,000 | 10% | 21% | 47% | 21% | +10.4 | -1.3 | -5.4 | -3.6 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 18,000 | 16% | 21% | 43% | 20% | -14.7 | -14.8 | -20.4 | +50.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 11% | 19% | 63% | -7.4 | -8.5 | -8.4 | +24.3 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 5,800 from Katsumata Kenji | 3% | 4% | 6% | 87% | +2.9 | -12.9 | +0.3 | +9.7 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Draw | 2% | 1% | 4% | 93% | -2.3 | +3.9 | -2.4 | +0.8 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 5,200 from Suzuki Taro | 2% | 1% | 4% | 93% | -2.3 | -2.9 | +14.9 | -9.7 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Maehara Yudai | 2% | 1% | 9% | 88% | -5.7 | +21.1 | -17.8 | +2.4 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 3% | 4% | 94% | -2.2 | -8.2 | -0.2 | +10.6 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +31.0 | -10.5 | -19.0 | -1.5 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -11.6 | +32.0 | -17.2 | -3.2 |