Game · 2018-19 Final Series
3/30 Game 1
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+76.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +52.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -17.4 | +15.0 | +1.2 | +1.3 |
| East 2 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 34% | 26% | 26% | -5.9 | -16.4 | +27.9 | -5.5 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 4,000 | 11% | 19% | 48% | 22% | +9.5 | -0.9 | -3.5 | -5.1 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 15% | 20% | 46% | 19% | -13.6 | -16.4 | -22.2 | +52.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 8% | 9% | 20% | 64% | -7.9 | -6.3 | -9.6 | +23.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 5,800 from Kenji Katsumata | 2% | 4% | 7% | 87% | +2.8 | -13.1 | +1.5 | +8.8 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 1% | 5% | 92% | -2.4 | +3.0 | -2.2 | +1.6 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 5,200 from Taro Suzuki | 1% | 1% | 4% | 94% | -2.6 | -1.0 | +15.2 | -11.6 |
| South 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Yudai Maehara | 2% | 1% | 10% | 87% | -4.1 | +18.5 | -19.3 | +4.9 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 2% | 3% | 94% | -3.2 | -6.6 | +0.7 | +9.1 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 98% | +31.0 | -10.5 | -19.8 | -0.8 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -11.7 | +32.2 | -17.4 | -3.2 |