Game · 2018-19 Finals
3/30 Game 2
Murakami Jun finished 1st (+61.7pt). The game was decided in South 2, 1 honba: Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000, which moved Murakami Jun's expected points by +48.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,200 from Shiratori Sho | 24% | 26% | 25% | 26% | -7.2 | -2.6 | -0.1 | +10.0 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 1,000 from Murakami Jun | 19% | 24% | 24% | 33% | +1.6 | -2.2 | +0.5 | +0.1 |
| East 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,600 from Katsumata Kenji | 21% | 23% | 25% | 32% | +0.4 | +12.3 | -5.4 | -7.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 20% | 32% | 19% | 29% | +6.7 | -7.3 | -4.2 | +4.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,500 from Murakami Jun | 25% | 26% | 18% | 32% | -3.1 | -0.1 | -5.7 | +8.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 3,000 | 22% | 25% | 13% | 39% | -5.0 | -4.4 | -2.5 | +11.9 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Murakami Jun ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 17% | 21% | 12% | 50% | -1.9 | -23.0 | +26.9 | -2.0 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,600 from Shiratori Sho | 16% | 10% | 27% | 47% | -9.0 | -3.2 | +0.2 | +11.9 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 18,000 | 7% | 7% | 24% | 61% | -17.4 | +56.5 | -18.7 | -20.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 46% | 15% | 35% | -8.5 | -27.9 | +48.7 | -12.2 |
| South 3 | Draw | 1% | 14% | 62% | 23% | +2.2 | -2.1 | +2.4 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 13% | 66% | 20% | +2.7 | -7.2 | +0.6 | +3.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Murakami Jun tsumo 1,500 | 2% | 11% | 63% | 24% | -3.7 | -5.7 | +15.8 | -6.4 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Draw | 1% | 2% | 87% | 10% | +1.9 | -2.2 | +1.4 | -1.0 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 93% | 7% | -7.1 | -9.2 | -21.3 | +37.6 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Murakami Jun ron 1,300 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 0% | 52% | 48% | -2.9 | +2.0 | +23.7 | -22.9 |