Game · 2018-19 Finals
3/30 Game 3
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+61.9pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +43.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 5,200 from Sonoda Ken | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -4.0 | -13.7 | +17.9 | -0.3 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 16% | 39% | 24% | -3.0 | -12.6 | -7.6 | +23.2 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 6,400 from Sasaki Hisato | 18% | 10% | 31% | 42% | +0.1 | +18.8 | -22.3 | +3.4 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,200 from Ooi Takaharu | 19% | 18% | 16% | 47% | -0.2 | +11.7 | +0.9 | -12.5 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 7,700 from Sonoda Ken | 20% | 26% | 17% | 37% | +25.8 | -26.3 | +0.4 | +0.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 38% | 11% | 16% | 35% | +3.3 | +2.8 | -9.0 | +3.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000 | 40% | 12% | 12% | 37% | +43.9 | -13.7 | -11.3 | -18.9 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Takizawa Kazunori | 87% | 2% | 3% | 9% | -11.5 | -1.2 | -2.3 | +15.0 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 77% | 3% | 3% | 18% | +2.1 | -12.0 | +9.6 | +0.3 |
| South 3 | Draw | 80% | 0% | 4% | 15% | -1.4 | +0.2 | +3.2 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 79% | 0% | 5% | 16% | +8.7 | -2.0 | -5.0 | -1.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 92% | 0% | 0% | 8% | -4.6 | +1.8 | +0.7 | +2.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 4,000 | 86% | 0% | 0% | 13% | +3.6 | +22.8 | -19.4 | -7.0 |