Game · 2018-19 Final Series
3/30 Game 3
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+61.9pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +42.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 5,200 from Ken Sonoda | 27% | 25% | 23% | 25% | -5.1 | -14.2 | +17.6 | +1.7 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 17% | 36% | 26% | -6.9 | -11.5 | -4.3 | +22.7 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 6,400 from Hisato Sasaki | 17% | 9% | 30% | 44% | +1.3 | +18.0 | -22.6 | +3.3 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,200 from Takaharu Ooi | 18% | 18% | 16% | 49% | +0.9 | +11.5 | -0.2 | -12.2 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 7,700 from Ken Sonoda | 20% | 27% | 17% | 37% | +28.4 | -27.3 | -0.8 | -0.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 41% | 10% | 15% | 34% | +1.5 | +3.1 | -6.7 | +2.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000 | 41% | 12% | 12% | 36% | +42.4 | -12.0 | -12.5 | -17.8 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Kazunori Takizawa | 86% | 3% | 3% | 9% | -12.9 | -0.5 | -1.0 | +14.5 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 74% | 4% | 4% | 19% | +4.5 | -14.6 | +10.2 | -0.1 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 81% | 0% | 4% | 14% | -1.6 | +0.5 | +2.4 | -1.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 80% | 0% | 4% | 15% | +8.6 | -1.1 | -5.1 | -2.4 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 92% | 0% | 0% | 8% | -3.7 | +1.5 | +0.5 | +1.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 4,000 | 88% | 0% | 0% | 12% | +2.7 | +23.0 | -19.4 | -6.2 |