Game · 2018-19 Final Series
3/31 Game 2
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+88.2pt). The game was decided in East 4, 4 honba: Sho Shiratori tsumo 18,000, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +28.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yudai Maehara 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Yudai Maehara Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 1,500 from Yudai Maehara | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +9.7 | -1.7 | -6.5 | -1.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 1,300 from Ken Sonoda | 33% | 23% | 21% | 23% | -9.8 | +1.9 | +1.2 | +6.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 26% | 22% | 28% | -2.3 | +3.1 | +3.0 | -3.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yudai Maehara ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 24% | 27% | 23% | 26% | +0.4 | -0.6 | +10.2 | -10.1 |
| East 3 | Yudai Maehara tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 26% | 31% | 20% | -9.6 | -13.4 | +31.5 | -8.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 14% | 58% | 14% | -8.3 | -1.9 | -10.0 | +20.2 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 15% | 49% | 24% | +1.7 | -4.8 | -2.8 | +6.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 5,800 from Kazunori Takizawa | 12% | 12% | 46% | 29% | +1.3 | -16.1 | -3.4 | +18.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 5,800 from Kazunori Takizawa | 12% | 6% | 39% | 43% | -3.0 | -11.3 | -0.9 | +15.2 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 7,700 from Ken Sonoda | 7% | 3% | 33% | 57% | -15.3 | +0.3 | -4.6 | +19.6 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 18,000 | 3% | 1% | 20% | 76% | -7.6 | -6.7 | -13.8 | +28.1 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 97% | -7.7 | -5.6 | -6.6 | +20.0 |
| East 4, 6 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 2,400 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +2.2 | -6.0 | -0.3 | +4.1 |
| East 4, 7 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +0.4 | +1.9 | -3.4 | +1.0 |
| East 4, 8 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.2 | -1.1 | -1.3 | +2.6 |
| East 4, 9 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +20.2 | -8.5 | -5.6 | -6.2 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -2.2 | +12.3 | -2.7 | -7.4 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +17.7 | -5.8 | -3.6 | -8.3 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +1.7 | -1.9 | +1.2 | -1.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 2,600 from Yudai Maehara | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +3.5 | -0.2 | -6.2 | +2.9 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +4.4 | +9.0 | -4.2 | -9.2 |