Game · 2018-19 Finals
3/31 Game 2
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+88.2pt). The game was decided in East 4, 4 honba: Shiratori Sho tsumo 18,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +29.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Maehara Yudai 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Maehara Yudai Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 1,500 from Maehara Yudai | 25% | 24% | 27% | 25% | +5.2 | +1.0 | -8.2 | +1.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 1,300 from Sonoda Ken | 29% | 24% | 21% | 26% | -4.9 | +0.5 | +0.3 | +4.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 22% | 28% | -3.8 | +3.9 | +3.7 | -3.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Maehara Yudai ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho | 22% | 27% | 24% | 26% | +1.5 | -1.9 | +11.3 | -10.9 |
| East 3 | Maehara Yudai tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 25% | 32% | 20% | -12.5 | -10.6 | +32.4 | -9.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 15% | 61% | 12% | -5.6 | -5.1 | -10.0 | +20.7 |
| East 4 | Draw | 12% | 14% | 51% | 24% | +2.9 | -4.7 | -3.8 | +5.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 5,800 from Takizawa Kazunori | 14% | 11% | 47% | 28% | +0.2 | -14.3 | -2.6 | +16.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 5,800 from Takizawa Kazunori | 12% | 5% | 41% | 42% | -1.1 | -12.5 | -3.1 | +16.7 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 7,700 from Sonoda Ken | 9% | 3% | 32% | 56% | -19.0 | +3.1 | -2.6 | +18.5 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 18,000 | 2% | 2% | 22% | 75% | -6.7 | -7.9 | -14.4 | +29.0 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 0% | 3% | 96% | -6.7 | -6.4 | -7.3 | +20.5 |
| East 4, 6 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 2,400 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 0% | 0% | 99% | +1.8 | -5.2 | -1.0 | +4.4 |
| East 4, 7 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +1.5 | -0.2 | -2.8 | +1.5 |
| East 4, 8 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.8 | -1.2 | -0.9 | +2.9 |
| East 4, 9 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +20.6 | -6.9 | -6.9 | -6.8 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -3.1 | +11.6 | -0.6 | -7.8 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 0% | 0% | 0% | 99% | +17.1 | -5.0 | -4.4 | -7.7 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +2.3 | -2.3 | +1.5 | -1.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 2,600 from Maehara Yudai | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +3.5 | -0.3 | -6.9 | +3.7 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +4.4 | +9.4 | -4.2 | -9.6 |