Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2018-19 Final Series

3/31 Game 3

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+74.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +42.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Takaharu Ooi● Hisato Sasaki● Kenji Katsumata● Taro Suzuki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Takaharu● Hisato● Kenji● Taro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHisato Sasaki
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Kenji Katsumata
1st-place chance
Taro Suzuki
1st-place chance
Hisato Sasaki
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Kenji Katsumata
Expected pt change
Taro Suzuki
Expected pt change
East 1Hisato Sasaki ron 2,900 from Kenji Katsumata26%25%25%24%+7.7+0.1-8.0+0.3
East 1, 1 honbaTaro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki29%26%20%25%-33.2-0.7+1.1+32.9
East 2Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki10%22%18%50%+23.7-0.8-0.7-22.3
East 3Kenji Katsumata tsumo 1,50023%24%20%33%-3.7-2.5+10.5-4.3
East 3, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata21%21%28%30%-0.2+29.4-28.4-0.7
East 4Taro Suzuki ron 1,500 from Kenji Katsumata19%45%9%27%-0.5-2.0-1.8+4.2
East 4, 1 honbaExhaustive draw19%42%9%30%-3.6+11.0-3.4-3.9
South 1, 2 honbaTaro Suzuki tsumo 8,00015%55%7%24%-14.0-11.4-6.9+32.2
South 2Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata5%34%4%58%-1.1+31.7-18.4-12.2
South 2, 1 honbaTaro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki2%71%1%27%-3.3-1.0-0.1+4.4
South 3Takaharu Ooi ron 3,200 from Kenji Katsumata0%70%1%29%+2.4+9.9-7.3-5.0
South 4Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,0000%85%0%15%-4.2-31.4-4.3+39.8
South 4, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi tsumo 8,0000%17%0%83%-1.8+42.1-1.5-38.8

All 2018-19 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)