Game · 2018-19 Finals
3/31 Game 3
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+74.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +42.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | +9.5 | +1.9 | -9.5 | -1.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 32% | 24% | 20% | 24% | -35.5 | -0.3 | +1.9 | +33.9 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 10% | 20% | 19% | 51% | +22.2 | +0.2 | -2.3 | -20.2 |
| East 3 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 1,500 | 22% | 25% | 19% | 35% | -3.6 | -3.9 | +12.8 | -5.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 20% | 22% | 28% | 30% | +0.3 | +28.7 | -29.9 | +1.0 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 1,500 from Katsumata Kenji | 17% | 44% | 9% | 30% | +0.5 | -1.1 | -2.7 | +3.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 18% | 42% | 8% | 31% | -3.2 | +9.4 | -1.0 | -5.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 52% | 8% | 24% | -15.4 | -9.7 | -7.4 | +32.4 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 4% | 35% | 4% | 57% | +0.4 | +30.5 | -18.4 | -12.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 1% | 70% | 1% | 27% | -3.5 | -1.0 | -0.9 | +5.5 |
| South 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 3,200 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 69% | 1% | 30% | +1.9 | +11.6 | -6.8 | -6.8 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 87% | 0% | 13% | -4.3 | -32.9 | -4.0 | +41.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 16% | 0% | 84% | -1.6 | +42.6 | -1.8 | -39.3 |