Game · 2018-19 Final Series
3/31 Game 3
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+74.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +42.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | +7.7 | +0.1 | -8.0 | +0.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 29% | 26% | 20% | 25% | -33.2 | -0.7 | +1.1 | +32.9 |
| East 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 10% | 22% | 18% | 50% | +23.7 | -0.8 | -0.7 | -22.3 |
| East 3 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 1,500 | 23% | 24% | 20% | 33% | -3.7 | -2.5 | +10.5 | -4.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 21% | 21% | 28% | 30% | -0.2 | +29.4 | -28.4 | -0.7 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 1,500 from Kenji Katsumata | 19% | 45% | 9% | 27% | -0.5 | -2.0 | -1.8 | +4.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 42% | 9% | 30% | -3.6 | +11.0 | -3.4 | -3.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 55% | 7% | 24% | -14.0 | -11.4 | -6.9 | +32.2 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 5% | 34% | 4% | 58% | -1.1 | +31.7 | -18.4 | -12.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 2% | 71% | 1% | 27% | -3.3 | -1.0 | -0.1 | +4.4 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,200 from Kenji Katsumata | 0% | 70% | 1% | 29% | +2.4 | +9.9 | -7.3 | -5.0 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 85% | 0% | 15% | -4.2 | -31.4 | -4.3 | +39.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 83% | -1.8 | +42.1 | -1.5 | -38.8 |