Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/7 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+101.7pt). The game was decided in East 1: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +32.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +32.9 | -9.1 | -10.9 | -12.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 51% | 18% | 16% | 15% | +4.2 | +0.7 | -4.3 | -0.6 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 55% | 16% | 14% | 15% | -17.1 | -10.8 | -8.5 | +36.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 38% | 13% | 11% | 39% | -2.7 | +0.4 | -2.8 | +5.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 35% | 12% | 10% | 43% | +32.1 | -14.7 | -6.3 | -11.1 |
| East 3 | Draw | 66% | 4% | 5% | 26% | -1.2 | +2.3 | -4.2 | +3.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 3,900 | 65% | 4% | 4% | 28% | -4.2 | -3.0 | -3.7 | +10.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 57% | 3% | 2% | 38% | -3.6 | -2.7 | +1.8 | +4.5 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Draw | 53% | 3% | 2% | 42% | -1.5 | +5.5 | -1.2 | -2.7 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki | 52% | 4% | 2% | 42% | +30.9 | +0.7 | +2.1 | -33.8 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 24,000 | 90% | 2% | 2% | 6% | +29.5 | -9.2 | -9.3 | -10.9 |
| South 1, 6 honba | Draw | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +0.7 | +4.4 | -3.2 | -1.9 |
| South 1, 7 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,200 from Sasaki Hisato | 99% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -8.6 | +14.6 | -3.9 | -2.1 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | -5.5 | +9.3 | -1.5 | -2.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 98% | 1% | 0% | 1% | +9.5 | -17.0 | +0.5 | +6.9 |
| South 3 | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +1.3 | +0.5 | -6.1 | +4.3 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Nikaido Aki | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +4.0 | -1.4 | -0.8 | -1.8 |