Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2018-19 Regular Season

1/7 Game 1

Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+101.7pt). The game was decided in East 1: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +32.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 1End● Sasaki Hisato● Kayamori Sayaka● Kurosawa Saki● Nikaido Aki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Sasaki● Kayamori● Kurosawa● Nikaido
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultSasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Kayamori Sayaka
1st-place chance
Kurosawa Saki
1st-place chance
Nikaido Aki
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
Kayamori Sayaka
Expected pt change
Kurosawa Saki
Expected pt change
Nikaido Aki
Expected pt change
East 1Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,00025%25%25%25%+32.9-9.1-10.9-12.9
East 1, 1 honbaSasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki51%18%16%15%+4.2+0.7-4.3-0.6
East 1, 2 honbaNikaido Aki tsumo 12,00055%16%14%15%-17.1-10.8-8.5+36.4
East 2Draw38%13%11%39%-2.7+0.4-2.8+5.1
East 2, 1 honbaSasaki Hisato tsumo 12,00035%12%10%43%+32.1-14.7-6.3-11.1
East 3Draw66%4%5%26%-1.2+2.3-4.2+3.1
East 4, 1 honbaNikaido Aki tsumo 3,90065%4%4%28%-4.2-3.0-3.7+10.9
East 4, 2 honbaDraw57%3%2%38%-3.6-2.7+1.8+4.5
East 4, 3 honbaDraw53%3%2%42%-1.5+5.5-1.2-2.7
South 1, 4 honbaSasaki Hisato ron 12,000 from Nikaido Aki52%4%2%42%+30.9+0.7+2.1-33.8
South 1, 5 honbaSasaki Hisato tsumo 24,00090%2%2%6%+29.5-9.2-9.3-10.9
South 1, 6 honbaDraw100%0%0%0%+0.7+4.4-3.2-1.9
South 1, 7 honbaKayamori Sayaka ron 5,200 from Sasaki Hisato99%0%0%0%-8.6+14.6-3.9-2.1
South 2Kayamori Sayaka ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato99%0%0%1%-5.5+9.3-1.5-2.3
South 2, 1 honbaSasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka98%1%0%1%+9.5-17.0+0.5+6.9
South 3Sasaki Hisato ron 1,000 from Kurosawa Saki100%0%0%0%+1.3+0.5-6.1+4.3
South 4Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Nikaido Aki100%0%0%0%+4.0-1.4-0.8-1.8

All 2018-19 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)