Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/8 Game 1
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+65.6pt). The game was decided in South 2: Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Asakura Koshin, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +46.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -21.7 | +0.7 | -2.1 | +23.0 |
| East 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 5,200 | 11% | 24% | 23% | 42% | -3.9 | -8.8 | -2.8 | +15.5 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 9% | 16% | 19% | 57% | -17.1 | +21.0 | -3.4 | -0.6 |
| East 4 | Draw | 3% | 27% | 15% | 55% | -0.7 | -2.1 | -2.8 | +5.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 3% | 24% | 12% | 61% | -3.3 | -1.2 | +7.2 | -2.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 3% | 23% | 16% | 59% | +3.6 | -2.9 | +3.0 | -3.7 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 7,700 from Uotani Yuumi | 4% | 23% | 19% | 54% | +24.0 | -1.1 | -1.4 | -21.5 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 3,900 | 13% | 27% | 22% | 38% | +17.7 | -5.4 | -6.4 | -5.9 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Draw | 24% | 24% | 19% | 32% | +1.0 | -3.4 | +7.8 | -5.4 |
| South 1, 6 honba | Asakura Koshin tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 23% | 25% | 27% | -11.8 | -5.9 | +20.4 | -2.8 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Asakura Koshin | 15% | 19% | 42% | 25% | -1.2 | +46.5 | -44.5 | -0.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 10% | 60% | 10% | 20% | -0.6 | +1.2 | +37.6 | -38.2 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 63% | 25% | 5% | +32.6 | -4.1 | -21.8 | -6.7 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 29% | 57% | 10% | 3% | -10.2 | +31.7 | -9.2 | -12.2 |