Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/8 Game 1
Masato Hagiwara finished 1st (+65.6pt). The game was decided in South 2: Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Koshin Asakura, which moved Masato Hagiwara's expected points by +45.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -23.3 | -1.1 | +1.5 | +22.9 |
| East 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 5,200 | 10% | 22% | 24% | 44% | -2.9 | -7.0 | -3.3 | +13.3 |
| East 3 | Masato Hagiwara ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 9% | 15% | 19% | 56% | -19.0 | +20.7 | -2.2 | +0.5 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 27% | 15% | 55% | -0.1 | -1.2 | -3.9 | +5.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 24% | 12% | 61% | -2.2 | -3.3 | +7.6 | -2.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 20% | 17% | 60% | +2.9 | -1.3 | +2.8 | -4.4 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 7,700 from Yuumi Uotani | 4% | 23% | 20% | 54% | +24.9 | -0.3 | -1.6 | -23.0 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 3,900 | 14% | 27% | 24% | 36% | +15.8 | -5.6 | -5.2 | -5.0 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 24% | 21% | 32% | +2.1 | -3.7 | +6.4 | -4.8 |
| South 1, 6 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 22% | 26% | 28% | -11.7 | -6.4 | +21.7 | -3.6 |
| South 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Koshin Asakura | 14% | 18% | 44% | 24% | +0.1 | +45.9 | -45.0 | -1.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 12,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 11% | 59% | 10% | 20% | -1.6 | +1.3 | +38.4 | -38.1 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 61% | 28% | 4% | +31.7 | -1.8 | -23.3 | -6.6 |
| South 4 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 60% | 10% | 3% | -9.5 | +30.5 | -9.5 | -11.5 |