Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/8 Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+54.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Go Kobayashi, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +68.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +2.6 | -0.3 | -1.3 | -1.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,200 from Yuumi Uotani | 28% | 24% | 23% | 26% | -1.8 | -9.1 | +0.7 | +10.2 |
| East 2 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 3,000 | 26% | 18% | 24% | 32% | -2.1 | +6.5 | -2.4 | -1.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Yuumi Uotani | 25% | 21% | 23% | 31% | +7.8 | -6.1 | -0.6 | -1.1 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 31% | 17% | 23% | 30% | +26.0 | -0.9 | -26.4 | +1.3 |
| East 4 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000 | 53% | 14% | 6% | 27% | -4.2 | -9.9 | +33.6 | -19.6 |
| South 1 | Yuumi Uotani tsumo 8,000 | 51% | 11% | 23% | 15% | -11.0 | +24.2 | -6.8 | -6.4 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,600 from Naoki Setokuma | 40% | 25% | 21% | 14% | +16.3 | -5.8 | -9.5 | -0.9 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 61% | 13% | 13% | 12% | -3.7 | +3.3 | +4.8 | -4.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 56% | 17% | 17% | 10% | +3.6 | -1.0 | -5.1 | +2.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Go Kobayashi | 62% | 15% | 9% | 14% | -62.8 | -2.0 | -4.0 | +68.9 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 8% | 4% | 84% | -11.1 | +6.6 | -1.1 | +5.6 |