Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/8 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+54.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +69.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 23% | 26% | 24% | 27% | +6.8 | -2.6 | +1.3 | -5.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,200 from Uotani Yuumi | 28% | 25% | 25% | 23% | -1.3 | -8.3 | -2.7 | +12.3 |
| East 2 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 3,000 | 27% | 19% | 23% | 32% | -2.4 | +5.7 | -2.7 | -0.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Uotani Yuumi | 25% | 22% | 21% | 32% | +4.6 | -6.5 | +1.9 | 0.0 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 28% | 17% | 23% | 32% | +27.4 | -1.2 | -26.6 | +0.3 |
| East 4 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 52% | 13% | 7% | 28% | -2.9 | -10.8 | +32.7 | -19.0 |
| South 1 | Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000 | 52% | 10% | 22% | 16% | -11.2 | +25.6 | -6.6 | -7.8 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,600 from Setokuma Naoki | 42% | 24% | 20% | 14% | +17.5 | -5.8 | -9.9 | -1.9 |
| South 3 | Draw | 64% | 13% | 12% | 11% | -5.7 | +2.8 | +5.9 | -3.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 56% | 18% | 15% | 11% | +3.1 | +0.5 | -5.8 | +2.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go | 62% | 16% | 8% | 15% | -63.7 | -2.7 | -3.2 | +69.6 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Draw | 4% | 8% | 3% | 85% | -9.9 | +6.2 | -1.6 | +5.3 |