Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/10 Game 1
Jun Murakami finished 1st (+68.5pt). The game was decided in East 1: Jun Murakami tsumo 24,000, which moved Jun Murakami's expected points by +54.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Jun Murakami tsumo 24,000 | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +54.1 | -18.1 | -17.7 | -18.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 2,000 | 71% | 9% | 9% | 10% | -2.7 | +5.7 | -0.4 | -2.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 71% | 11% | 9% | 9% | +5.4 | -5.4 | -3.2 | +3.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 78% | 6% | 7% | 9% | -1.6 | -2.9 | +3.1 | +1.4 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Koshin Asakura ron 1,000 from Aki Nikaido | 75% | 6% | 9% | 10% | +1.6 | -5.3 | -5.6 | +9.3 |
| East 4 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000 | 80% | 5% | 5% | 11% | -11.9 | -8.9 | -7.8 | +28.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 62% | 3% | 4% | 31% | -3.2 | -2.6 | +2.3 | +3.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura | 58% | 3% | 4% | 35% | +5.9 | +20.9 | -3.1 | -23.8 |
| South 1 | Jun Murakami tsumo 6,000 | 72% | 8% | 5% | 16% | +11.5 | -4.0 | -0.7 | -6.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,000 from Aki Nikaido | 83% | 5% | 3% | 9% | +1.1 | -4.5 | +1.6 | +1.8 |
| South 2 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 3,000 | 88% | 3% | 3% | 7% | -2.1 | +9.0 | -4.4 | -2.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 85% | 5% | 2% | 7% | -1.3 | +5.4 | -1.9 | -2.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Jun Murakami tsumo 1,500 | 84% | 6% | 2% | 7% | +7.4 | -4.7 | -3.5 | +0.9 |
| South 3 | Koshin Asakura ron 6,400 from Takaharu Ooi | 93% | 0% | 1% | 5% | +0.2 | -2.2 | -13.8 | +15.8 |
| South 4 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 3,000 | 93% | 0% | 0% | 7% | -1.7 | -2.2 | -2.2 | +6.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 91% | 0% | 0% | 9% | +3.6 | +5.2 | -5.0 | -3.8 |