Game · 2018-19 Regular Season
1/10 Game 2
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+95.2pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +50.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -3.4 | -0.9 | -0.3 | +4.7 |
| East 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 1,500 | 22% | 24% | 26% | 28% | -1.1 | -4.6 | +4.9 | +0.7 |
| East 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 4,000 | 22% | 20% | 29% | 29% | -3.5 | +14.3 | -7.6 | -3.3 |
| East 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000 | 20% | 31% | 22% | 27% | -15.1 | -19.1 | -16.2 | +50.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 7,700 from Taro Suzuki | 7% | 10% | 8% | 75% | +2.1 | +1.1 | -16.2 | +13.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 7% | 3% | 85% | -6.0 | -6.9 | -4.9 | +17.7 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 1% | 2% | 1% | 97% | -11.5 | +1.9 | +10.9 | -1.3 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 1% | 1% | 1% | 97% | +6.0 | -1.3 | -4.8 | +0.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 1% | 2% | 1% | 96% | +1.5 | -15.4 | +4.1 | +9.8 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 99% | +22.8 | -13.2 | -8.6 | -1.0 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +4.7 | +3.2 | -10.3 | +2.4 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -2.4 | +5.1 | -3.6 | +0.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 2,100 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -0.4 | -0.2 | -3.3 | +3.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +0.7 | -20.2 | +23.4 | -3.9 |